totoGalaxias

totoGalaxias t1_iuri7ur wrote

The world is green indeed. Thanks bats and other insectivores and carnivores. Where I leave populations across species crashed due to a fungal epidemic. Bats are just amazing. Mammals that dared to fly. Impressive.

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totoGalaxias t1_iui28mv wrote

I don't see how the economical situation in Ukraine is sustainable. Right now they depend on the support of its allies both to sustain the working of the government as well as the supply of weapons. The hope is that this support outlasts the resiliency of the Russian invasion I suppose.

I honestly don't think that Ukrainians are able to reconstruct as fast as you think, mainly due to the austerity brought up by the conflict itself. And all of this damage happened in just two weeks of this type of attacks. Your assumption is that the Russian army can't keep up with this effort and that Ukraine air defenses have been brought up to a level where they now can handle it. And as far as I understand, all of this damage was inflicted using the less expensive kamikaze drones.

I do think casualties in the Ukrainian army are huge. Training tens of thousands won't be enough to go on the offensive to reclaim all the lost territory. Specially now that the mobilized Russian conscripts start joining the ranks of the occupation. At the start of the war, the Ukraine army was even better equipped then now I believe. Even with all of that the Russian army was able to occupy a big chunk of the country. Ukraine even a functional air force too. Now that is all gone.

So yes, I don't know how in the mid or long term Ukraine can go on an offensive to reclaim the lost territories.

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totoGalaxias t1_iuhmv5m wrote

Ok, this is my opinion. Probably not very popular. I think Ukraine won't be able to regain much more territory for various reasons. One, the country's economy has shrank by half. Right now the government relay on international interventions to sustain itself.

Then, we had this round of tactical attacks from Russia that destroyed something like 30% of the electrical infrastructure in a matter of a week. This I think shows how Russia has a lot lieu way to up the ante.

Sure, the Ukraine army has made important gains lately, but for how long they can sustain this? I do think the Russian army has wiped out a big chunk of the original army, which was very well trained one by the way. Now you have a situation were Ukraine is both trying to gather more combatants from an shrinking population. Plus, they have to learn to use all the donated equipment and figure out how to incorporate it into their tactics.

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Then again, I don't know much about warfare and my opinion is based on information that I don't know if it is entirely reliable.

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