Apologies if I'm misunderstanding but is your claim that a sharp jump in deaths this year can be attributed to baby boomers hitting 75? If so wouldn't you expect to see a steady, gradual increase over the past 5 years rather than what it sounds like is a step change? The categorisation of "deaths in the 75+ group" may have a spike but the likelihood of all cause deaths shouldn't be that much higher at 75 than 74 right?
thunderflame t1_j0bsds8 wrote
Reply to comment by eric5014 in The pandemic’s true death toll - The Economist's daily updated estimate of excess deaths around the world by statisticalanalysis_
Apologies if I'm misunderstanding but is your claim that a sharp jump in deaths this year can be attributed to baby boomers hitting 75? If so wouldn't you expect to see a steady, gradual increase over the past 5 years rather than what it sounds like is a step change? The categorisation of "deaths in the 75+ group" may have a spike but the likelihood of all cause deaths shouldn't be that much higher at 75 than 74 right?