This might rival the Great Emu War of 1932 in Australia

So let's do some math here for those curious (as am I) about this rather lavish projection:

The average home electricity usage amounts to ~886 kWh/month, so this array is expected to generate 14.40 GWh/month. The report cites 50 MW of generation daily, which is laughably small compared to the next smallest renewables generation source (wood burning at 204 MW) in NE ISO's portfolio. And we haven't even discussed the impact of weather in New England and its role in reducing this output during solar hours.

As PJM (the grid interconnect) has recently realized to our south, reality often paints a much different picture with renewables as of now compared to traditional thermal generation. Sure, the 50 MW of battery storage is rather attractive, but consider that wholly inadequate when we get into regimes where demand outpaces both generation and reserves in storage. This is probably going to be most noticeable in the winter.

I am amped!!

To my understanding (I've been closely watching this as part of a joint weather-equities/commodities venture I'm in), the U.S. panicked and began flooding the market heating oil market starting late 2022 with extra supply from our SPR.

This was not widely discussed or even well understood in local media (shocker), but the prevailing thinking is that this occurred to stem outrage in the Northeast U.S. as oil prices soared. It's also *just* coming out now that U.S. based shale production has been massively underwhelming for months, despite the lavish numbers coming out from the EIA. This would further bolster the idea that SPR releases were targeting demand in the Northeast markets.

I believe both sweet & sour crude stored in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve is of quality, however it's entirely possible that a) it loses this quality the longer it sits in storage and b) you're ultimately seeing the results of this.

For those curious why the power outage numbers are skyrocketing across the southern Monadnock Region, consider:

1. This part of the state has a high number & density of conifers (evergreens)
2. 5-15" of snow have already fallen across this area, with more on the way through late tonight. The majority of this snow (as expected) is heavy and wet, as evident from low observed SLRs & wet bulb temperatures near 32°F
3. Conifer trees provide a larger surface area for wet snow to clump and quickly aggregate, which is exacerbated by a lack of unloading under relatively calm winds

On the summits themselves!

This has been a challenge, especially given I was using a more detailed color wheel and attempted to hop between shades at a decent clip to help color blind folks. My only hiccup with using WMUR's color table is I don't want to be associated in *any way* with their products, otherwise I'd be working for them. I may implement a similar shade scheme like theirs, but modify it heavily.

Good question! Bomb cyclone is one of those scary characterizations designed by and gobbled up by national media around an actual classification in meteorology. When a cyclone experiences a 24+ mb pressure drop in 24 hours, that's classified as bombogenesis, or explosive deepening.

Yep, that's exactly how I would have explained it! Wet bulb temperature is another important factor when considering how sticky it is to trees, power lines, etc.

The vote from other color blind folks was to use the WMUR color scale, so that will be implemented once I get some more time.

Oh get ready, it's about to go through another name change soon as well. The state college system in VT is a joke; the success of Lyndon's meteorology program in the future will be dependent on them jettisoning VSC for a larger school.

Not at this time!

Oh, are you finding the division between Belknap & Carroll is tough to see between Lake Winnipesaukee with how dark the lake coloring is? Obviously keeping an eye on the snow grids will be the most important, as divisions won't follow the county line!

Check out this brighter lake coloring to see if that helps: https://imgur.com/a/bcriiMn

🫡🫡

I'm humbled, especially given this comes from the real Ron Weasley!

Wednesday will be much better than Tuesday, Tuesday evening will be the most tricky of the three in this window we're looking at

24-36"!

Oh! Those plus symbols are a layer in the GIS program I use that represent the individual location of clients my company has, I didn't even realize I left those on 😬. The one by you is SAU 65 Kearsarge, so your school system employs our services!

Lyndon State College is my alma mater!

Good question! The impact scale is geared towards how I'd expect most people to react here:

Low: Travel is manageable with proper precautions

Moderate: Travel is degraded, proactive road treatment on primary roads will offer some improvement

High: Travel is severely degraded, regardless of road treatment

Major: Travel is essentially impossible, regardless of road treatment

Rain goes to steady & heavy wet snow any time beyond 10-11A Tuesday. Given banding may overpower the higher sun angle there, I'd recommend against travel to/from there.

A new post is incoming shortly!

I had always been hesitant of former high-ranking military officers serving as president until I read more about Eisenhower