nolesrule

nolesrule t1_iydk7sy wrote

In addition to what the others said, if wife funds a medical FSA, you wouldn't be eligible even if you switch to your own HSA eligible plan because FSA is considered other medical coverage since it can be used to pay for your expenses regardless of what plan you are on.

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nolesrule t1_iyaswn8 wrote

It was back of the envelope math, because if you pay it off in 12 equal payments the average balance per month will be approximately but not exactly 50% of the starting balance.

Using an amortization calculator, if you make 12 payments of $8946.74/month you will have it paid off with a total paid of 107360.88 which is 2360.88 interest, which isn't all that far from my envelope math.

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nolesrule t1_iya7ifh wrote

The amount of interest you'll pay will depend specifically on when you make the payments. Since interest gets calculated on the remaining principal balance for each payment (the specifics of the calculation depend on the loan type).

If you pay it off evenly then you'll pay about $2200 in interest over a year. If you make minimum payments and lump sum at 1 year it'll be closer to your calculation.

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nolesrule t1_iy8c25i wrote

What everyone else said is correct, and it gets "better" because the capital gains income over $200k AGI will also get taxed 3.8% for Net Investment Income Tax.

Additionally 85% of the Social Security will count as income (and add to the AGI and taxable income) due to the other income.

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nolesrule t1_iy88t18 wrote

Recessions and market drops don't necessarily correlate. We may already have the market drop caused from an expected recession. And when a recession happens, people are often optimistic about the future of the market since "it can only get better" which will cause prices to rise.

Your relationship assumptions between a recession and market drops are questionable at best. Not to mention you have 30+ years to keep the money invested so right now will look like a tiny blip at that point in the future and won't make a material difference in the long term.

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nolesrule t1_iy4c5vf wrote

> What if when I retire the market is shit?

You might still have a lot more in your account than what you contributed over the next 20-30 years.

If the market doubles every 10 years for 30 years and then you lose 50% a year later, you're still ahead 4x. That's better than a savings account in the long run.

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