Came here for this comment

It’s not a great correlation but it’s there. Strike out the big outliers, (VT, CT, and HI). You’re left with a range around 400-1000 of training. If you look at the derived metric of shootings/ crime there’s a definite weight towards more shootings at the lower end of the training scale compared to the top.

Granted, the bulk of the dataset shows that by that metric the majority of states have relatively low numbers, but those that are elevated are all on the lower end of the 400-1000 scale and the magnitude of the elevation is weighted towards the lower end.

Still a correlation. Weaker looking one, but it’s there. Strike out the three obvious outliers and concentrate on the central data points.