monkeysingmonkeynew

monkeysingmonkeynew OP t1_j4un2xm wrote

OK I can almost see this working, thanks for the suggestion. The only thing that would prevent me from implementing this solution is that by taking the sum of the two models, it would let m_1 give as equal a contribution to the result as m_1. However I expect a single days data to be noisy, Thus I would need the contribution of the new days data to be down weighted somehow.

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monkeysingmonkeynew OP t1_j4r6lwj wrote

this sounds pretty cool. but I don't follow every step. By "calculate the errors" do you mean for example, extract the predicted probabilities from the actual outcome?

Also, I didn't get your last part about inference, what exactly are you referring to there?

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