Not “everyone” obviously. But overall we see bad estimates from humans on average in every category here when pooled together. So yes that is exactly the reason for this. Your “logic” is not only bad it is totally backwards. But I don’t care to speak with you anymore.

One one simple explanation adequately explains all the results, yes that is best. If the data showed something else and some pieces didn’t fit then yes, other solutions should be sought. Very frequently the most boring answer is the right one, as much as you want to make it be some complicated political thing.

(And for what it’s worth I’m politically on “your side”. The right wing media is poisoning the well regarding trans people and, hey, maybe without that this poll shows 16% estimated instesd of 20% or something. The point is you don’t need that explanation to explain it because every other data point is showing the same misunderstandin)

Lol what? People aren’t good with understanding percentages and what they mean. Yes I will absolutely stand by that

Yes that is precisely what science would consider a better explanation: to find a simple single solution that explains all the consistently odd results. Not to say “wow the same thing happens for all these different instances … Let’s assume one solution that fits our political agenda for one of them and then look for a completely different explanation for each of the other cases.”

I have no idea what you’re even trying to say… I’m actually a statistician but believe whatever you want about this data

If it were JUST trans people then your argument would maybe make sense. But people are doing the same thing about EVERY minority group no matter how “objectionable” or “unobjectionable” that media tries to paint them. My explanation means people are way less stupid than your explanation would. Like you really feel Americans BELIEVE that about 1:3 people live in Texas and 1:3 live in Texas and 1:3 live in California and no one lives anywhere else? No, they just don’t conceptually understand percentages. Simple

Right because this shows people don’t understand percentages not that they don’t understand minority representation. When a lot of people say 20% of the US is trans they are just trying to express that it’s a minority not really that it is exactly 1 in every 5

Yeah very surprised at all the top comments explaining how the ancients had it all figured out! Even at the end of the Roman Republic they had the seasons and the calendars all out of synch until the Julian Calender figured out how to have it work out with leap years and such. And of course even that wasn’t quite right… getting a working calendar was absolutely not a trivial task (and figuring out why it worked wasn’t trivial either!)

Right but the full phrase is almost never what you are referring to since 99/100 if you say www you’re intending to talk about it being typed with specifically those three letters

I did say in another comment that maybe the one chance there is is for a woman to make it as a specialized pitcher known exclusively for a trick pitch (of which a knuckleball would be a good example). Sinker is not (which is essentially a fastball btw) and curve is not because traditional breaking pitches rely heavily on a complimentary fastball to set them up. Fastballs are essential to keeping people from sitting on the predictable motion of your breaking pitches and keeping people off balance. Knuckleballs are distinct because they have no predictable motion. But knuckleballs are super hard to throw: look how many men can master them, almost none.

Also pitchers are in a different way the worst example to pick. Pitchers have the highest rate of injury and catastrophic injury of any position in all of sports due to how much stress every pitchers puts on their elbow and shoulder. Knuckleballs may look easy on the body, but throwing pitches from 60 feet away on an elevated mound is hard and these pitches are included (they only look easy since we are used to seeing pitchers throw 90+ which virtually no one you or I know could even accomplish on flat ground, man or especially woman!

I mean this is such a stupid comment. Obviously, as you know, hockey goalies need massive amounts of agility and quickness that a sumo wrestler would not have, which is why teams aren’t stupid and this doesn’t happen. Similarly teams aren’t stupid and it’s why men are virtually exclusively drafted into mens sports even though anyone is free to be drafted

Yes but mens muscle mass and general strength is still going to be a barrier. Any guy playing MLB is a far far outlier in some way among men… I just don’t see how a woman could bridge that gap (maybe as a very weird specialist, like some soft tossing relief pitcher that has impeccable command and a weird trick pitch?)

That is irrelevant. Think of peak physical athletic ability has a normal curve distribution. The one for men is shifted significantly up from that of womens curve. There’s TONS of overlap but the only professional athletes are in the extreme extreme outlier of that curve. The top .001% men outliers are always going to be shifted further ahead of the women outliers on the their curve.

Also the original comment saying “men are better” at sports is kind of disingenuous. Physically there’s just no comparison. A smaller woman (or man for that matter) can be incredibly skilled and tactically sound but the physical limitation just makes it impossible to compete with a larger stronger faster human, even if that person is a worse student of the game

No

Obviously. I agree pitch carefully like there is a base open but the plan should be to try to get him out

More like that ball landed in a split second: what a rocket

Well intentionally putting the tying run in scoring position and lead run on base to face a very clutch playoff star who just homered last at bat isn’t an obvious call by any means.

Bringing in Ray was dumb though