We are better off than factory workers 100 years ago because now machines do the work. Job = work + income. AI automates the work part.

In 1800 most people were farmers. Automation put most of them out of work. And yet we still have full employment. What happened? Why did nobody predict social media influencers?

Technology makes stuff cheaper. The money you save is spent on other stuff. That spending creates new jobs.

Vernor Vinge predicted 30 years on March 30, 1993. https://frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/book98/com.ch1/vinge.singularity.html

We use prediction to test understanding. What is so hard to understand about that?

I reluctantly signed the letter because I don't think it will have any impact. Automating work has a $1 quadrillion ROI and nobody is going to stop racing toward that goal. An extra 6 months would just be squandered arguing over whether it is even a problem.

Eczema and asthma are both autoimmune diseases. It suggests that either osteoarthritis is an autoimmune disease (like rheumatoid arthritis) or that immune suppressing drugs cause it.

There is no next step after the singularity. It is the end of time. Vernor Vinge described it as an event horizon on the future. It is the point where the rate of recursive self improvement (measured by computing power) becomes infinite, so perceptually it is a point infinitely far in the future no matter how close you get.

Of course there won't be a singularity if our understanding of physics is correct. The universe is finite. It will only support 10^120 qubit flips and 10^90 bit writes.