Not necessarily how it works. If you had active 3d seismic with high vertical and time resolution (4d) and high resolution surface passive seismic from usgs surface arrays and monitoring wells with high resolution VSP arrays surrounding the area in a shallow active seismic area, you might be able to refine a process specific to that site that might work in other places but it’s also going to require the same amount of input data from the control site. Also the controlling processes that initiate the process can range anywhere from the mantle to induced events from reactivating and slip tendency which could be anything from lubrication to critical stress thresholds.
Then it becomes the challenge of depth and resolution of what’s actually useful since many of those technologies aren’t penetrating to the depths necessary to really get a good set of data.
This process is being worked on by others. One day it’ll probably be able to be generalized enough to give better predictive models but any of the seismic monitoring aside from that the usgs does is extremely expensive and typically private companies during o&g exploration so that data isn’t going public or going to be shared any time soon and it’s also not typically in areas that would be extremely useful per se both due to the area and current tech
jaynkumz t1_j7ws4m2 wrote
Reply to comment by LillBur in Can the static tension of tectonic plates be quantified, or how are predictions about future quakes made? by TokinGeneiOS
Not necessarily how it works. If you had active 3d seismic with high vertical and time resolution (4d) and high resolution surface passive seismic from usgs surface arrays and monitoring wells with high resolution VSP arrays surrounding the area in a shallow active seismic area, you might be able to refine a process specific to that site that might work in other places but it’s also going to require the same amount of input data from the control site. Also the controlling processes that initiate the process can range anywhere from the mantle to induced events from reactivating and slip tendency which could be anything from lubrication to critical stress thresholds.
Then it becomes the challenge of depth and resolution of what’s actually useful since many of those technologies aren’t penetrating to the depths necessary to really get a good set of data.
This process is being worked on by others. One day it’ll probably be able to be generalized enough to give better predictive models but any of the seismic monitoring aside from that the usgs does is extremely expensive and typically private companies during o&g exploration so that data isn’t going public or going to be shared any time soon and it’s also not typically in areas that would be extremely useful per se both due to the area and current tech