islayblog
islayblog t1_j4whtq6 wrote
I don't think the result would look anything like this. All that graph is doing transposing the results under the current UK system to the German methodology.
If the UK were to implement the German system I expect the results to look rather different. A lot of the smaller parties (Greens, UKIP/Reform/whatevertheyrecalledthesedays) will have a much bigger share while the bigger parties will lose votes.
Simple reason being that many people at the moment will vote for the "lesser evil" (eg maybe Labour even though they would prefer Green) simply to avoid their vote being a "lost vote" and to keep the "large evil" (in this example the Tories) out. If they were to vote for a small party there's a possibility the "lesser evil" will lose against the "large evil", so they do some tactical voting.
With proportional representation tactical voting in this manner isn't really that necessary any more, so the smaller parties will likely gain significant votes.
islayblog t1_j0ra1dh wrote
And yet unlikely to catch Klose.
Also Mbappe has only scored one goal less than Messi but only played just over half the number of Messi's games. And he's only 23.
islayblog t1_ix3n16w wrote
Reply to comment by pinkshirtbadman in 2022 FIFA World Cup finishing position probability per team [OC] by adebar
Greece, anyone?
islayblog t1_j4z0qqq wrote
Reply to comment by xih70828 in [OC] What if the UK used the German electoral system? by Yodoliyee
Yes, but to a lesser extent.