Article is a bit all over the place. Talks about AGI coming about and then progressing at a normal rate from there. If you hit true AGI and not just LLM I don't see how ASI isn't a few months out. Article also makes a bunch of allusions to the alignment problem. I like the goal but once the genie is out it would be like a singular ant trying to direct the affairs of a country.

I feel you. The older people I work with keep saying things like these electric cars are never going to work. They might have a long list of draw backs my old friends but Norway goes 100% electric for new cars in 2025. It's not coming. It's here now.

Rugged American Individual here. Hard pass.

Where does the runaway effect take place? 50 million years ago primates existed and we were at 1,000 parts per million. Is it something like 2000 parts per million that really kicks it over?

I think you are correct but for a different reason. The Earth has been losing glaciers for the last 10,000 years. Going back to 300 parts per million CO2 wouldn't change that I suppose. So I would still be safe from glaciers. If we do make it to singularity I look forward to global warming the hack out of Mars

I am serious about glaciers. I think you have a good point on the speed. I'm just not sure if dropping us to 200 parts per million for CO2, like that last ice age solves it.

Your phrase solve climate change makes me interested. I live in a spot of North America that had a 1000 feet of ice over it 10,000 years ago. CO2 levels have been many times higher and many times lower historically. I guess my question is do I have to live on a glacier when you're done solving climate?

Climate kills 1000x fewer people than even as recently as the 1950's. Turns out central air and super computing weather forecasts are pretty effective. I agree with you, it would be a people thing.

People don't seem to understand this. We are at 440 ppm CO2. Mr. Trex lived quite happily at 1500 ppm.