cox_ph

cox_ph t1_j8tu9xx wrote

> This original survey of 1,135 parents around the United States was conducted by Main Street Children's Dentistry and Orthodontics using a Google Forms survey.

Yeah, this is far from a comprehensive and validated survey; this is ~20 parents per state that answered an online form. At those small numbers, state averages could easily be swayed by a couple outliers.

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cox_ph t1_j7qng3p wrote

Since you're using basketball-reference.com, it's worth noting that there is a way that you can actually use data from the site to account for projected future stats for a given player.

They use similarity scores (see here for Michael Jordan for example) to match each player with 10 additional players with similar career arcs. You can then use average over those 10 players for points scored for subsequent seasons (using only players that actually played subsequent seasons, which would fit the assumption that Michael Jordan played additional seasons). This would give a rough approximation for how many points Michael Jordan would be expected to score if he continued to play, based on career arcs of similar players.

While it's not perfect, it's far better than assuming that players would continue scoring at peak levels indefinitely.

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cox_ph t1_j77t436 wrote

As the article points out, it gets even more extreme if you go further back:

> According to the census, the Native American population in the U.S. has grown from 552,000 in 1960 to 9.7 million in 2020, a growth of over 1,600%.

The article mentions a lot of potential reasons for this increase, but it seems like a major reason is that in the past people with partial indigenous backgrounds felt more comfortable identifying as white, but in more recent times, claim indigenous heritage (even if it's just a distant connection).

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cox_ph t1_ivtyy5d wrote

What is the blue bar? IQR? Confidence interval (and if so, is it 90%? 95% Are you assuming a normal distribution or something different)?

Also, this seems to go against the "Premier League is more balanced" or the "Ligue 1 is totally noncompetitive" narratives if the points per game for the leaders are similar (or if anything, slightly higher for the Premier League).

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cox_ph t1_iv1wuj0 wrote

There is nothing besides HIV infection that leads to AIDS.

There are other causes of immunodeficiency (broadly defined as dysfunction or lack of competence of the immune system), but the specific syndrome known as AIDS is caused by HIV infection.

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