You are right, so there is no reason to be talking about a recession coming on the stock forum because they aren't the same thing. Recession does not equal stocks going down in your case then.

This bear market has already been longer than average and returns after midterms have historically gone up every single time since tracking has begun.

The 2 quarters of negative gdp already happened, that was the recession. Just had growth again in Q3.

That's how you know bottom is in. Reminds me of the seperate variation post and how frothy everyone was in March/April 2020. Everyone was sure SPY was going to break below 200 and all the bears lost their ass.

People want to talk about how a recession is coming when growth names have been in a 2 year stock bear market and a 1 year bear market for the major indices. We just lived through the recession already and the market is forward looking. Stonks go up from here and we have bottomed. The recession isn't coming, it has already passed us by and it was a weird one.

edit* - stocks also bottom about 3 months before a recession is over. All the lays offs have finally happened and come the end of January no one will be talking about a recession anymore.