boundbylife

boundbylife t1_j02evd2 wrote

Maybe, but unlikely.

2M is considered the low end for the possibility of black hole formation. But for the resultant mass to be exactly 2M, you'd have to have both bodies' motion perfectly cancel each other - a glancing blow by either body would result in some of the mass being ejected from the system. And at a fraction of c, the fractional mass would quickly escape the larger mass's gravitational influence, so it wouldn't return and reform. The odds of two bodies having the exact opposite x, y, and z velocities is just, well, astronomical.

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boundbylife t1_iy8ke2l wrote

You're gonna have to be a little more specific than that.

Comparing Disney's stock performance to that of Apple, Amazon, and Google over the past 2 quarters, they're all in a 10% spread of each other. That would tend to indicate that any perceived drop in Disney's stock performance is due more to market trends than an institutional failing. I.E., if Disney is performing poorly its because people don't have money to give them, not because they have a substandard business model.

A sale to / merger with Apple would therefore probably not be well-perceived by shareholders. Indeed, if you suspect that Disney's performance will rise in the near future (be it because of the next wave of Marvel movies, the upcoming success of Avatar 2, or something else), you would effectively be selling to Apple at a loss (versus future gains).

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boundbylife t1_iy51i2g wrote

When you see headlines about X company merging with Y company or similar, and they don't have any citeable sources, you should treat it like someone trying to manipulate the stock prices - because that's exactly what the effect is. Rumors of a merger would increase stock price of both companies, dispelling it would bring it back down. Iger going on record to say its not on the table is the responsible and ethical thing to do.

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boundbylife t1_iy4xck8 wrote

> Ironically the theme parks are why I doubt Apple would want Disney.

Actually I can see an argument for the parks being the exact reason Apple would want Disney.

The Parks are quickly becoming high-end, 'influencer-esque' experiences - my insta and TikTok are positively littered with people in the parks taking pictures, making blogs about the food etc.

Apple, I think for their part, would love nothing more than to soft-enforce an Apple Garden around that experience:

  • "Want to make your own magic shots, without having to pay memory maker? Only Apple Phones can provide this custom photo effect!"

  • "Use Apple Augmented Reality to see instantaneous wait times for your favorite rides"

  • "Only Apple watches are supported as third-party magic bands"

etc etc. Then you'd have all the influencers buying Apple because its 'the best experience', and they'd quasi-organically rep for Apple in every single post, blog, and video.

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boundbylife t1_iy4sl85 wrote

This idea that they were going to merge with Apple was always complete nonsense. Disney has no need to merge; they aren't in serious financial trouble; they are THE name in theme parks; THE name in family entertainment; THE name in movie production; THE name in merchandising. They have major stakes in television, both broadcast and cable. Disney+ is somewhere between the 3rd and the 5th most popular streaming site (depending on how you count, and whether or not you include youtube). They are a well-diversified portfolio of companies, robust enough to weather anything but the most catastrophic market changes.

Literally the only real pressing problem for them these days is the potential dissolution of Reedy Creek (which I have very strong doubts will actually occur).

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