TheSensibleTurk
TheSensibleTurk t1_jdz7kkb wrote
Reply to Degrees of the future by dustysaxophone
Did polisci/sociology for BA and international relations/intelligence studies for MA and I couldn't be happier. Currently a fed contractor but have a variety of doors open to be a fed or remain in private sector or become a military officer now that they raised age limits. IMO whether the degree improves your intellectual skills is as important as the subject matter itself.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jdp0gua wrote
Reply to comment by simmol in ChatGPT is about to revolutionize the economy. We need to decide what that looks like. New large language models will transform many jobs. Whether they will lead to widespread prosperity or not is up to us. - MIT technology review by HorrorCharacter5127
Other countries will impose similar rules as well. No country, not China, not North Korea, can survive massive unemployment. Profit requires consumers who can afford to consume.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jdnrpor wrote
Reply to ChatGPT is about to revolutionize the economy. We need to decide what that looks like. New large language models will transform many jobs. Whether they will lead to widespread prosperity or not is up to us. - MIT technology review by HorrorCharacter5127
Congress can and will pass legislation to ensure a US based company can't replace more than an X percentage of workers with AI. Or some other formula to ensure AI won't threaten economic stability. In order for a company to make a profit, consumers have to be able to at least afford credit.
If, in the future, population starts shrinking like in Japan and this poses economic threats of its own, then AI can be utilized to a greater degree.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jbtml96 wrote
Reply to comment by GrayCS in The moment when you realize you’re no more committed to your answers than AI is to its. Strange but true! by Husker_Hack
What happens to those who refuse to live under the dictatorship of the proletariat or give up their property and assets? We know what every single ML regime did to those it labeled as counter-revolutionaries.
Since you seem uneducated about democide, here's a primer
https://www.collinsdictionary.com/us/dictionary/english/democide
TheSensibleTurk t1_jbt8lye wrote
Reply to comment by GrayCS in The moment when you realize you’re no more committed to your answers than AI is to its. Strange but true! by Husker_Hack
Replace it with Marxism-Leninism and you get the same result.
State sponsored democide and genocide is not totalitarian enough, apparently.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jbt4a83 wrote
Reply to The moment when you realize you’re no more committed to your answers than AI is to its. Strange but true! by Husker_Hack
Due to the filters imposed on it though, ChatGPT sounds very wishy washy sometimes. For example it acknowledges that a lot of historians view Stalinism as an inherently totalitarian ideology, but it will refuse to classify it as such itself because that would constitute an opinion rather than being a fact, apparently.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jbsgzl3 wrote
Reply to comment by KnightOfNothing in With a universal income, will we stop working? by berlinparisexpress
Here's more then:
Historical data of the Nasdaq 100 index
The index returned an average annual return of 15.13% between July 2007 and February 2023 .
That's an empirical fact, not conjecture.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jbq04f2 wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in With a universal income, will we stop working? by berlinparisexpress
Yep. The stock market is more democratic and accessible than ever, and you don't need to be a pro or pay any managers thanks it index ETFs.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jbpulqv wrote
I wouldn't. I'd want to make 4x - 5x the amount of the UBI.
Nothing feels as good as investing %80 or your disposable income into QQQ or SPY. I'm 30 now. If the nasdaq 100 returns just 5 percent annualized over the next 15 years, my portfolio will be around 5-6M USD, and not even considering things like dollar cost averaging or playing with a bit of safe margin.
That's the beautiful thing about American capitalism. Invest enough and the economy itself makes money for you. For all those jokes about billionaires not even knowing you exists, you can ride their coattails to multimillionaire status.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jbksbzw wrote
Neither the US nor the world order that the US heralded in 1951 are diminishing.
What makes America desirable to tens of millions of immigrants and millions of visitor students who are waiting in line?
It's civil and civic values. A freer society leads to a better system of social cohesion (try being a black man in China or Russia). America by no means is a utopia, but it remains the top destination because it allows you to live a relatively free life vs the alternatives.
America has checks and balances, division of power in government, and a balancing of populism vs technocracy. We'll talk about Balkanization or civil war when the filibuster rule is amended.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jao53vp wrote
I think us opining on this at this point in time would be like medieval scholars conjecturing about technology a millennia into their future.
My "headcanon" if it's an appropriate term here is that humans will eventually become post-humans and be a cat 5 civilization and we cannot even conceptualize what they might do. Who knows, maybe they'll tame time itself. Or maybe they already did and this is an ancestor simulation. Maybe if they're benevolent enough they'll even let us have an afterlife. Sky is the limit.
I mean, just think on the fact that a couple centuries ago the scientists of the day were concurring that mechanical flight was impossible or that women couldn't ride in a train without damaging their uteruses.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jabiah6 wrote
Reply to Stop with the nonsense AI hate. You're all starting to sound like old farts. by Life_Is_Actually_VR
I was hating it first.
But someone told me we're likely a decade away from sex robots capable of self-locomotion and deep learning.
As long as I get to have my AI harem, I'm okay with the other drastic changes to come.
TheSensibleTurk t1_jab56zi wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in Physically Demanding Work Tied to Male Fertility: Study suggests occupational factors associated with higher sperm concentrations and serum testosterone levels. by filosoful
I add around 3k a month to QQQ so on a good year I beat the market by quite a margin. 2021 was 30% portfolio growth for example. This past year, I still kept adding as the market tumbled, which only helps it in the long run with dollar cost averaging. So 36k a year invested in the most aggressive growth ETF.
TheSensibleTurk t1_ja9wgm7 wrote
Reply to comment by OfficerBarbier in Physically Demanding Work Tied to Male Fertility: Study suggests occupational factors associated with higher sperm concentrations and serum testosterone levels. by filosoful
It's a sacrifice I have to make to build wealth for then to inherit. Hopefully, by then testosterone replacement therapy will be further perfected.
TheSensibleTurk t1_ja9t5xt wrote
Reply to comment by OfficerBarbier in Physically Demanding Work Tied to Male Fertility: Study suggests occupational factors associated with higher sperm concentrations and serum testosterone levels. by filosoful
If the nasdaq-100 gives an annualized return of 5-6%, I'll have around 12M USD give or take so I think I'll be hiring full time help for sure.
TheSensibleTurk t1_ja999ei wrote
Reply to Physically Demanding Work Tied to Male Fertility: Study suggests occupational factors associated with higher sperm concentrations and serum testosterone levels. by filosoful
Hopefully if crispr becomes mainstream or easily accessible, it won't matter that much. I'll be banking my sperm at the age of 35, in the event that my future 50 year old self may have dna-damaged sperm or something sue to age as some allege. Then, crispr can iron out the details.
TheSensibleTurk t1_ja1n3wf wrote
Reply to comment by Surur in AI is accelerating the loss of individuality in the same way that mass production and consumerism replaced craftsmanship and originality in the 20th century. But perhaps there’s a silver lining. by SpinCharm
So you're saying quasi-sapient sex robots with lifelike locomotion, computer driven self-articulation, memory retention and adaptiveness can be a thing within the next few decades?
TheSensibleTurk t1_ja1hmvl wrote
Without going into specifics due to NDAs and such, as a contracted linguist I can attest that there already are third party technologies that allow for instant translation and transliteration with minimal and acceptable amount of loss vs a human. But the government still wants humans to do it in matters pertaining to public safety, national security or the military because human linguists and translators may be required to give deposition in court cases. When you take into account things like FISA warrants where the judges are especially stringent and the government has to clear a high bar, the government absolutely prefers human agency lest the courts or other observers accuse it of rigging the AI/machine. So, I don't think we'll see it in the government sector due to hose accountability and judicial concerns.
TheSensibleTurk t1_j9xbjgp wrote
Reply to Archiving your mind, mentality and voice after death. Tell me how you feel about this. by Dimitar_Drew
We have no idea what awaits beyond death. For all we know this is a glorified VR experience. Maybe the simulation makers are benevolent and our actual selves consented to this and once we're done we're back whatever we were doing out there. We're like Columbus sailing westward thinking he'll get to the Indies.
TheSensibleTurk t1_j9l0xiz wrote
Reply to comment by AnotherPersonsReddit in Google announces major breakthrough that represents ‘significant shift’ in quantum computers by Ezekiel_W
It will be useful in de-encrypying encryption that at the moment is considered foolproof. Apple et al will have to come up with a completely new model of encryption.
TheSensibleTurk t1_j9ky76z wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in Google announces major breakthrough that represents ‘significant shift’ in quantum computers by Ezekiel_W
They laid people off because they had gone on a hiring spree when the fed had quantitative easing. They over hired. Now, the fed stopped the gravy train and they had to scale back.
Jeff Bezos or his successor in Amazon are smart enough to realize that you need customers to make a profit. Profit, innovation and a strong demand economy are intertwined. It may be that a millennia from now, humans will have moved beyond any economic model today. But we won't be living Wall-E for the remainder of this century at a minimum.
TheSensibleTurk t1_j9kkxhq wrote
Reply to Google announces major breakthrough that represents ‘significant shift’ in quantum computers by Ezekiel_W
This is the real deal. All this hype over AI is little different than the hype over cryptocurrency a few years ago. No, we're not gonna have automated luxury societies without money or employment within our lifetimes. Quantum computing otoh will actually be a revolutionary thing.
TheSensibleTurk t1_j886atf wrote
Reply to comment by MonkeyParadiso in Question: what are the best answers you've seen to what could be done when AI starts replacing labour en masse in and across industries? by MonkeyParadiso
America very much is a welfare state. You don't even need to be a citizen to qualify for a variety of aid programs. As we saw in the SOTU speech, the otherwise fiscally conservative GOP balks at the prospect of cutting social security or sunsetting other welfare programs.
TheSensibleTurk t1_j86fzwc wrote
Reply to comment by MonkeyParadiso in Question: what are the best answers you've seen to what could be done when AI starts replacing labour en masse in and across industries? by MonkeyParadiso
Why not just skip the extra steps and utilize an industrial scale liquidation program then? Not like it hasn't been tried before. What do you think? Random lottery? Oldest person or the firstborn of every household? Or some kind of an aptitude test and a certain percentage of those who fail get "let go?" Genetic screening to favor those with the least amount of inheritable disease genes? /s
TheSensibleTurk t1_je83jl9 wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in Is capitalism REALLY going to disappear? by Phoenix5869
You can bet that we will use the full force of the bourgeoise state to resist. The average American isn't a hardened Bolshevik. The average American has internalized liberalism as a value system. The moment you guys start committing acts of terrorism like a suicide bombing, our Congress will clamp down hard. There will be no proletarian revolution in America or anywhere else in the imperial core or periphery.