If it's still out, you're part of 0.42% of Eversource's total customer portfolio without power. It's a very good thing you didn't buy the hype.

I'd love to know which town, because some of the reports coming in from the White Mountains are even more lackluster than expected

There are a couple of open fallacies in this that I need to address.

"Models are probabilistic": Incorrect. The majority of our guidance (including what you see above) is deterministic, governed complex differential equations. I'm building a statistical weather model at my job, so I'd hope I know the difference.

Skillful meteorologists understand the limitations of each guidance system, their biases, and make forecasts from there. One on display overnight was understanding how models fail to capture warm air advection and smaller features like robust dry air correctly. That's why you saw such a low forecast contrary to most others. Not only was it right, it wasn't aggressive enough but ultimately applied these principles.

Why did I not worry about a lot of wet snow? Simple: the snow growth sucked & the magnitude of warm air advection would easily overpower cold air, so the result would be a rapid transition to ice & rain. That minimizes power outages, which is what we saw.

Yeah, given I lived in an area that was pummeled by both Hurricane Irene & a wet snow storm (each crippled power for 10 days at a time), I'd say this event is rather tame, or laughable. Total outages & outage jobs remain lower than at either of the last two storms, great news.

That's honestly a great question! Given I grew up in New England and went to school in the mountains, my initial answer is no. That said, the caveat is there are a lot of microclimates to keep track of that variable terrain introduces, which I'd argue is the hardest part. The December 2020 snow blitz is an excellent example of this

Haha Al! He's an interesting TV met to say the least, he ironically went to the same college I did!

Right on schedule, as expected it's very light with the main action not slated until sunset!

Who says I'm a TV meteorologist?

You've very likely seen me and my forecasts before, I promise you of that. Would you like to see my atmospheric science degree?

"Introduce a little anarchy. Upset the established order, and everything becomes chaos"

Ha! Given this is going to be driven largely by elevation I've excluded the lower resolution guidance at this point, not to mention all 3 models got torched on how far north the warm front would come.