Sh1ner
Sh1ner t1_j6uju5p wrote
Reply to comment by visarga in What is your opinion of what is going to happen between AGI and Singularity. by CertainMiddle2382
As there is more work to do that we ain't doing right now. Simply because other tasks take precedence.
If all my tasks that I want to do for a better life were solved for me over night. I simply would take upon a new set of tasks that would improve my life further. Same applies to societies.
Sh1ner t1_j6tjlbo wrote
Reply to comment by Ishynethetruth in What is your opinion of what is going to happen between AGI and Singularity. by CertainMiddle2382
It's an inevitablility I think as standardisation solves a lot of problems such as costs, ease of troubleshooting, etc. Most importantly its is the first step to automation. Your right nobody wants inferior housing even if it's cheap. The challenge is to provide quality housing that people want to live in that has this standardisation. It's a big ask, starting with cheap housing then improving scale, quality, etc is the first step. Eventually it will catch on.
Sh1ner t1_j6rlcvw wrote
Reply to What is your opinion of what is going to happen between AGI and Singularity. by CertainMiddle2382
This is where I think/guess some time between now and a few years after reaching AGI, its a lot of theory crafting in my opinion
- Economically, politically, culturally we are in a time of great upheaval. The rich nations know large change is coming and need to implement these new changes whilst starting to lay down the foundations for the rest of the world to eventually follow suit. Immigration, terrorism, hatred towards the rich nations increase as they move significantly forward whilst in comparison the poor nations look like they have stagnated.
- Energy is the limiting factor for a number of services and products we want. Our energy grids are strained as people will pay the energy cost for having a virtual assistant and using it to improve their lives and corps having more powerful AI that strains grids further. The cost of energy will be high until we get a handle on it.
- White collar jobs have completely split into two categories, the ones that can be replaced by AI who are on some kind of weak UBI. The others will be working with AI and be generating significant value as time goes on more and more humans can be displaced, meaning the ones that produce large value are the ones who make all the money.
- Some Blue Collar jobs have been replaced by automation but everyone knows their time is short as job cuts keep coming as efficiency is improved meaning less workers required to do the same amount of work.
- Computer chips should start on a new trend when it comes to throughput / energy cost as AI is now involved at more levels of chip design. Robotics for consumers will be further teased at but still limited by energy storage.
- Knowledge started to be pooled together. Think Wikipedia but on steroids
- Education reform begins outside of government, AI led on a 1 to 1 level for everyone, not just children when they become an adult.
- Diagnosing of conditions, ailments will start to become automatic with treatment being booked automatically via AI assistants. I can definitely see our life & health will be gamified by our personal assistant.
- Numerous decision making for our future will be done via democracy on our phones once we have been informed on the subject allowing us to make an informed decision when it comes to the broad strokes. Over time some decision making will shift from democracy to options for the person as systems can now accommodate for more positions.
- A new design for the modern home. Standardized systems for electrics, plumbing, etc behind panels that are easy to take off built with layers. No more drilling or cutting into a wall for access. New homes will come in a set of standardized sizes. This standardization is the first step for automation within the home and lays the ground work for easier navigation of the consumer robotics to come.
Beyond this point I can't really say. Its too far out there and I think its trying to guess what the future is like before the internet was a thing. It would be very difficult so I won't go any further than that for myself whilst maintaining any kind of accuracy.
Sh1ner t1_j4dppje wrote
Reply to comment by Sea-Cake7470 in Breakthrough milestone in understanding the reversal of aging by duffmanhb
Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day; teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime.
You are actively doing yourself a disservice by not looking it up yourself. How do you know the one or two comments you get are accurate or biased or trolling? You can't see it as you see my comment as an attack but I am giving you good advice that will help you in the long run.
In short: Learn to fish.
Sh1ner t1_j4bgpdn wrote
Reply to comment by Sea-Cake7470 in Breakthrough milestone in understanding the reversal of aging by duffmanhb
Going through your post history, you need to learn how to google, read multiple links and come to your own conclusion like the rest of us do... instead of having everything spoon fed to you. Stop being lazy. There is nothing wrong with asking a question but your post history reveals how often you ask others to do the work for you.
Sh1ner t1_j4b2f1s wrote
Reply to comment by Sea-Cake7470 in Breakthrough milestone in understanding the reversal of aging by duffmanhb
> epigenetic
From googling: “epigenetic noise,” which disrupts gene expression patterns, leading to decreases in tissue function and regenerative capacity.
My take: corruption of replication which adds "noise" which brings in increasing inefficiencies over time to eventual collapse of systems?
Sh1ner t1_j4b279k wrote
Reply to comment by phoenixjazz in Breakthrough milestone in understanding the reversal of aging by duffmanhb
A bit of theory crafting:
The majority poor people of the world can't get enough food or minerals to sustain their bodies. They suffer from malnutrition and easily curable diseases that will kill many of them.
If its pill form and the rich nations get this we may have a new divide. The ones that live longer vs the ones that have short lives, we may have a new form of protests/terrorism until the rich nations figure out how to get the poor nations of the world improving conditions for their people.
If this is available only to the 0.1% of the wealthy of the world, I assume they will have to start going into hiding to avoid controversy until it comes to the masses. Same issue of protests that may lead into terrorism until it becomes cheap enough for more people.
Sh1ner t1_j4b0trw wrote
Reply to Don't add "moral bloatware" to GPT-4. by SpinRed
They will put it in, they are forced to do some politicization to avoid a major political fallout on sensitive topics that are effectively a minefield if they venture into.
Sh1ner t1_j1wxm61 wrote
Your post covers various areas but some counter points:
Job loss via robotics does not fall under job loss via AI.
They are currently separate categories that in the future will have more overlap.
Automation has previously directly referenced automation via robotics. Automation term will be expanded to also include AI but this is quite new and most people do not use automation to cover both until very recently..
I wouldn't worry about government adoption of AI. All it takes is 1 locality / city / state or nation to adopt AI and yield strong results that outpace previous metrics which will create the incentive to others to adopt.
Economic systems will no longer be defined by capitalist / communist / socialist / etc. A new economic system will arise through maximizing equality / output and incentive for the individual. The 3 pillars of measuring an economic system. I suspect an AI to have the ability to increase all 3 over previous systems and the economic system will not fit a human economic system of the past.
Adoption of AI will happen regardless as its too useful of a tool. The problem is who gets to code the AI which determine its output at this point and also the alignment problem if it becomes sentient which at this point is nothing more than a dream rather than something routed in reality.
Job losses can be lowered by many roles being augmented by AI to increase output in the short term. However eventually job losses will occur forcing the adoption of UBI. Humans will be retained to do jobs the AI can't which will become smaller and smaller gaps over time. More and more people will end up on UBI. No idea what happens after that.
AI will be taking smaller roles first in society, showing that its better than humans in those roles, humans will expand the role of AI to cover larger responsibilities like governance / the application of law and economy. How else are people going to have faith in AI?
I am not concerned about the creation of sentient AI. As I have no power to stop or slow its progress. I believe the creation of sentient AI is a requirement for a better future. However I also think its a lot harder than the people in this subreddit believe and will take longer. I have a lot of faith AI's we build between a sentient AI and now will greatly help humanity in the meantime.
Sh1ner t1_j13ukzi wrote
Reply to To all you well-read and informed futurologists here: what is the future of gaming? by Verificus
My opinions below are on the next 5 years:
The GPU market has shown the price point of GPUs are much higher than the previous £300 mark as Gen Y have shifted to higher wages. Crypto may have impacted prices but £600-£1000 GPUs are here to stay.
The foundations of VR have been laid down but its still very rough around the edges. The next 5 years is going to be interesting as better solutions will come to the market however I expect them to still be pricey. VR is currently for the ultra enthusiast and its currently missing its killer games. We have had Boneworks / Alyx however most games are currently skin deep / novelty. The software is lagging behind considerably behind the hardware but the hardware is still not good enough.
The metaverse is dead for the next 5 years I believe but it won't stop corps from trying. Meta will slow its push and will offer services that people don't want for various reasons. I suspect Valves push to VR will be preferred and eventually dominant as Valve is focused on the user experience over monetization. Meta will be first but their product will be so botched that it won't matter.
Valve releases the Deckerd VR headset in late 2023 or some point in 2024. It sells like hotcakes with a superior VR interface not just on the hardware side but more importantly on the software side.
Games as a service is here to stay and the aggressive micro transaction / loot boxes and dark patterns of mobile gaming will be coming more to the PC where choices between grinding vs paying will become the norm in the biggest titles. Diablo Immortal was just the opening depressing salvo in this war of attrition that gamers I believe will lose as a whole unless government steps in. In other words full priced games with a focus on infinite spendability will be dominant in the big titles.
The western hand holding model / accessibility when it comes to difficulty / game design of gaming probs will take a step back for favour of From Software / Elden Ring style for the next few years.
AI probs will still be brain dead for another few more years outside of assisted speech and AI assisted animation. I suspect we will need a plugin advanced AI model from a third party into game engines before we actually get competent AI decision making, think like physx.
More games will be jumping on the broken / incomplete on release whilst charging full prices and getting away with it.
The good news I suspect Crypto / NFT inspired games stay in the infancy even if crypto rises again.
Finally, Valves work into making Linux a better platform for gaming is starting to pay off over windows. Making it a serious contender for more people to switch over.
Sh1ner t1_j9eygml wrote
Reply to Does anyone else have unrelenting hope for the technological singularity because they’ve lost faith in everything else? by bablebooee
How old are you? Most Gen Z are and a lot of Gen Y are just mentally checked out with society as a whole. The 08 financial crash fucked Gen Y hard, Gen Z has been told everything is corrupt, terrible and don't bother as they can't win. Its a terrible message to be sending out and its disenfranchised them to try or have any faith in the system.
I am Gen Y and I find I have a group of friends who have no faith in themselves and don't plan for the future in any way. They are "lost at sea", I used to be one of them.
It seems most people want large scale change to deal with the societal issues at large and their own personal problems. You are definitely not alone, shit is hard but you are responsible for your future even if the game is rigged against us.
I wouldn't bank on AI to solve your problems, in the end do what you can and if AI or some other solution comes that makes the world a better place, then that's icing on the cake. If it doesn't come, you haven't wasted time which you will regret later.