RobLocksta

RobLocksta t1_j2adr2j wrote

Reply to comment by Wroisu in Revolutionary machine learning weather simulator by DeepMind & Google’s ML-Based "GraphCast" outperforms top global forecasting system. GraphCast can generate accurate 10-day forecasts at a resolution of 25 km in under 60 seconds. by vegita1022

Thank you! I thoroughly enjoyed that! Need to watch that a couple of times. But I'm a sql developer so the idea of parameters and functions isn't new to me. I'm going to check out some more of that YouTube channel.

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RobLocksta t1_j2a4klu wrote

Reply to comment by nyc_brand in Revolutionary machine learning weather simulator by DeepMind & Google’s ML-Based "GraphCast" outperforms top global forecasting system. GraphCast can generate accurate 10-day forecasts at a resolution of 25 km in under 60 seconds. by vegita1022

I've been on this sub for a while but I still struggle to understand the terminology regarding the specific approaches to AI (neural nets, machine learning, transformers, etc.) Would you mind expanding your answer on deep neural nets and their importance? Or maybe recommend a good online resource? I'd love to learn more about them.

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RobLocksta t1_j28qht2 wrote

Reply to Are we having a 2023 predictions thread on here? by natepriv22

I thought I remembered a prediction thread from the beginning of '22? I enjoy the prediction thread and hope that someone starts one for '23.

As far as my prediction, I think domain specific versions of chatgpt (or a similar LLM) will dominate the 2nd half of '23 as a (very) useful productivity booster for many white collar jobs. I think narrow AIs are going to start changing the world before we build a true AGI.

I think those same domain specific (narrow) LLMs are going to start putting people out of work in '24 on a fairly wide scale.

That's just my prediction for the current GPT 3.5 architecture. If GPT 4 is as transformative as many on here hope, we will have a new round of predictions when it gets released with far more ambitious expectations.

If LLMs and other AIs continue to progress like it did in 22 (or even faster if you factor in exponential growth ), then another iteration or two and we will start to see the world tremble, economically socially and politically. The next 3-5 years could completely redefine society and humanity.

It's exciting and terrifying. Perhaps the reason no one has started a prediction thread yet for '23 is that most of us are waiting to see what GPT4 is capable of (considering it should be released early in '23) before making the next round of guesses.

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