Hopefully the sub returns to what it was as it was a reasonable subbreddit before all this delusion

NOT clearly on track. Poll the experts on how to achieve AGI, poll them whether we are track. The majority of the answers you'll get are "We don't know". Yes youll find one expert that says something different but overall we don't know.

This may very well be one part of what is required to achieve AGI, the remaining components may take another 50 years to figure out. Early progress in fusion research led people to believe we'd have fusion power stations by the time I was an adult. Early progress in computer science thought the same about AI.

We do not know how close we are or understand how to get closer. All we know is generative AI is an interesting tech that will revolutionize many industry's

Ok, disregard his view. Go look at the majority of the views of the rest of the experts. They arent proclaiming this the start of the birth of AGI, ASI and the singularity like this sub is now doing on a daily basis. They are pretty clear that generative AI is a very transformative technology but it is NOT AGI. Nor do we have have any reason to think its close. Most estimates (guesses) are still 2030 or beyond

You dont need to hope. Just go read the views of the majority of experts on the subject (and not just one)

I'm not. I actually do think (completely guessing) that humans create an AGI before 2032, but the hysteria and hype (and in the process the complete failure to understand how these systems work to produce the content they do) on this subreddit is reaching levels of complete delusion due to the echo chamber

No, it isn't.

Stop drinking the Koolaid that is the echo chamber of this sub. Go watch Sam Altman talking about it on Lex Fridman.

Generative AI is a transformative tool thats going to change a lot of things, but just because it spits out content in a manner that appears like an AGI, it isnt. Yes you will find a paper, or one expert who thinks it is. It doesnt mean it is. The majority of experts say it isnt. Altman himself states it isnt

Is it progress towards AGI? Maybe, we don't know. The first AGI may build on work that does not AT ALL involve this technology pathway.

18 months from now when the generative AI low hanging fruit has been caught and the rate of improvement drops, with some cool systems helping people in the workplace, and search engines have been replaced with Chat assistants, the people on this sub will be whining writing posts about whether we are entering an AI winter. All because they created an expectation in this echo chamber that didn't match reality.

Yeah.. you've never been to countries such as Pakistan or Afghanistan have you? They aren't going to libraries to get cooking books

You are mistakenly thinking they prioritize the economy. They dont. They prioritize creating a religious paradise (as they see it)

If they can't work or go to school then they don't really need a library anyway.

Thats just outsider speculation. You could say the same about many things but in terms of development and progress towards AGI my point still stands

I'm not saying generative AI won't do that.

If you want to believe that go ahead.

Yes it's very transformative technology. You cannot however leap from that to AGI and singularity. All you are doing is setting yourselves up for disappointment. The disparity between the thoughts of professionals and academics working on this, and the views of this sub are astounding. Yet everytime they are mentioned its passed off as being over cautious. Nobody is moving the goal posts except for the people on this sub.

No. We don't even know how to build AGI.

The ridiculous thing is that in 9 months time the people on this sub deluding themselves in an echo chamber will be the same ones declaring an AGI winter because it hasnt met their own unrealistic expectations.