This is where we have to start thinking of weather in a probabilistic sense. How likely is an event to occur within the statistical framework of the recorded climate (official climate record is typically 30 years in the US)? This is where we get the things like 1000 year floods, 100 year heatwaves, etc.
In the vast majority of weather systems, energy moves downscale. What I mean by this is that big weather systems driven by large scale processes then drive smaller systems which themselves drive even smaller ones. When two large scale events line up, like ENSO (el nino/la Nina) and typical winter time jet stream, you may see an event that is far outside the statistical norm within the climatological record.
So I guess we could say short term weather patterns can be connected together, but large scale and longer time scale patters will be more influential.
Huskyapples111 t1_j3mq76j wrote
Reply to Are short term weather patterns generally related to each other or more random? by nbapip
This is where we have to start thinking of weather in a probabilistic sense. How likely is an event to occur within the statistical framework of the recorded climate (official climate record is typically 30 years in the US)? This is where we get the things like 1000 year floods, 100 year heatwaves, etc. In the vast majority of weather systems, energy moves downscale. What I mean by this is that big weather systems driven by large scale processes then drive smaller systems which themselves drive even smaller ones. When two large scale events line up, like ENSO (el nino/la Nina) and typical winter time jet stream, you may see an event that is far outside the statistical norm within the climatological record.
So I guess we could say short term weather patterns can be connected together, but large scale and longer time scale patters will be more influential.