Freevoulous

Freevoulous t1_j0tu5ny wrote

AGI? As in General Intelligence? No chance.

2045 is the most optmistic, if we somehow achieve stellar progress in hardware first.

Narrow AI, deep learning and ubiquitous LAI?

Yeah, I expect it to be all over the place in 3 years.

The thing is, there is no linnear progress from LAI to AGI. The difference is like between a fast horse and a spacecraft: you cannot breed a horse fast enough to ride it to Mars. At best you can use horses to pull matterials needed for your spacecraft, and in the same vein, you can use LAI to do some of the drudgework needed to code true AGI and build the necessary hardware.

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Freevoulous t1_iy392c0 wrote

VR and AR is limited mostly by the capabilities of human brain/head/ears/hands.

Fully immersive VR seems not to mesh well with the way human brain works.

Meanwhile, AR is mostly pointless becuse ubiquitous smartphones already cover all the fucntions AR could do, we just don't utilise them to that extent, because nobody cares to.

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Freevoulous t1_isnqztk wrote

Aside from all these great responses, I would also add that there are few species of fish that simply can crawl out of the water and reach another body of water on their own.

Eels are notorious for it, but some species of catfish can do that too.

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