Eric1969
Eric1969 t1_izt83c8 wrote
Reply to comment by Mooks79 in Football betting experiment: what if I consistently bet against the odds, on the least likely match outcome? This is the English Premier League. What happened in 2019/20? (sorry for the third similar post, I test different competitions incrementally after the jaw-dropping World Cups' results) [OC] by ikashnitsky
I agree. Also, the random numbers produced by a computer are “pseudo-random”.
Eric1969 t1_izt69qy wrote
Reply to comment by Mooks79 in Football betting experiment: what if I consistently bet against the odds, on the least likely match outcome? This is the English Premier League. What happened in 2019/20? (sorry for the third similar post, I test different competitions incrementally after the jaw-dropping World Cups' results) [OC] by ikashnitsky
It was 30 years ago in visual basic. So I don’t have access to it.
Eric1969 t1_izt3tqu wrote
Reply to comment by Mooks79 in Football betting experiment: what if I consistently bet against the odds, on the least likely match outcome? This is the English Premier League. What happened in 2019/20? (sorry for the third similar post, I test different competitions incrementally after the jaw-dropping World Cups' results) [OC] by ikashnitsky
My friend’s theory was that lagging outcomes (ex: tails having come up 20 times for 40 heads) would result in these outcomes having a higher probability than the theoretical probability (50% for heads and tails) of showing up, as they would surely eventually catch up. I tought the probability remained 50% regardless.
Eric1969 t1_izsuqse wrote
Reply to comment by Mooks79 in Football betting experiment: what if I consistently bet against the odds, on the least likely match outcome? This is the English Premier League. What happened in 2019/20? (sorry for the third similar post, I test different competitions incrementally after the jaw-dropping World Cups' results) [OC] by ikashnitsky
I actually was debating this with a friend so vigorously that he coded a program to compare yhe wins of betting randomly or on lagging possible outcomes of a randomly generated number. Betting on lagging outcomes brought more wins.
Professional sports is not quite random though.
Eric1969 t1_izs76c1 wrote
Reply to Football betting experiment: what if I consistently bet against the odds, on the least likely match outcome? This is the English Premier League. What happened in 2019/20? (sorry for the third similar post, I test different competitions incrementally after the jaw-dropping World Cups' results) [OC] by ikashnitsky
On one hand, randomness has no memory. On the other hand, regression to mean is a thing.
Eric1969 t1_it6t8l0 wrote
Reply to comment by rebel-is-other-ppl in [OC] 15 Years of New York City Shooting Victims by supaplex_
Oh! Thanks a lot.
Eric1969 t1_it5iujt wrote
Reply to comment by SLYTAPEX in [OC] 15 Years of New York City Shooting Victims by supaplex_
Come on, blacks are not 100 times more criminalized than whites. Cannot just be selective enforcement either. Is there a sampling peculiarity I missed?
Eric1969 t1_it59z9c wrote
Wait, how come the blacks number are like a hundred times higher than whites?
Eric1969 t1_irdxuk1 wrote
Reply to Widely used sewer pipe repair technology creates and emits nanoplastics into the air by ajwhelton
Would it be a lesser evil to burn plastic trash?
Eric1969 t1_j6znu92 wrote
Reply to Israeli minister calls himself ‘fascist homophobe’ in leaked recording – but says he ‘won’t stone gays’ by Avicennaete
Is he not merciful!