Before 2030 is my guess. We’re at full sprint even ignoring the LLM hype

I think a better way of thinking about this would be cost per user. How many hours a day do you spend doing the various errands around the house? If a robot was operating 16 hours a day how many households could it support? If we say it can make enough food to support 10 families a day and then in the remaining time do all the various chores spread over a week, the per household cost is 10k + electricity spread over X years. If a robot loan is 5 years like regular auto loans, it may be $2500 a year all considered

This sounds like the Saudi “Line”

Once seeing a robot doing something is common place enough it’s not note worthy we should move in the direction of ubi as a necessity. I’d guess once there are a 100,000 Tesla bots in the US people would start to see the writing on the wall.