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Miserable-Lizard OP t1_j1r34r8 wrote

Beautiful

Ukrainian air force spokesperson Yurii Ihnat didn't directly acknowledge his country's involvement in Monday's incident in an interview on Ukrainian television, but said: "These are the consequences of Russian aggression."

He added: "If the Russians thought that the war wouldn't affect them deep behind their lines, they were deeply mistaken."

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BastillianFig t1_j1r39xt wrote

Shot down but still killed 3 service members?

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PhDinDildos_Fedoras t1_j1r3n6o wrote

"Shot down" but videos just show it going in and exploding and satellite pictures show damage to bomber on tarmac.

Might have missed it a bit though.

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Izengrimm t1_j1r3zud wrote

With introductions like "Russia says" you can easily skip any following bunch of random words without losing anything important.

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Bubbagumpredditor t1_j1r4hcf wrote

And it just happened to crash into a warehouse full of munitions after being shot down?

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deez_treez t1_j1r6ru2 wrote

Whats a tie fighter doing out this far from home?

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autotldr t1_j1r7nw6 wrote

This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 89%. (I'm a bot)


> The Russian military reported Monday that it shot down a Ukrainian drone approaching an airbase deep inside Russia, the second time the facility has been targeted this month - again revealing weaknesses in Russia's air defences.

> It wasn't clear whether the drones had been launched from Ukraine or Russian territory.

> Haidai told Ukrainian television on Monday that Russian forces in the region are "Suffering huge losses and medical facilities are overwhelmed with wounded soldiers." The Russian army is redeploying paratroopers from the Kherson region to the area, he added.


Extended Summary | FAQ | Feedback | Top keywords: Russian^#1 force^#2 Ukrainian^#3 Russia^#4 region^#5

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flopsyplum t1_j1ra6ns wrote

Just like they destroyed HIMARS vehicles?

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Scarred4Life51 t1_j1rb4gz wrote

Probably a captured Ukrainian kamikaze drone that has been repurposed. Ukrainians probably figured out how to change the frequencies so they could use them without being noticed by the Russians.

Or maybe they didn't change anything. Why would Russians be looking for Iranian drones in their airspace?

−27

SupremeMisterMeme t1_j1rc730 wrote

Translation: The drone has reached its target and caused maximum damage.

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rheumination t1_j1rc99z wrote

Suppose they are maintained horribly and 99 of 100 fail to reach their target. That’s still 60 nuked cities. That’s a lot of destruction. These aren’t little bombs like Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

“Russia possesses a total of 5,977 nuclear warheads as of 2022, the largest stockpile of nuclear warheads in the world”

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stonk_fish t1_j1rd68u wrote

Such a Russian news article; “we have successfully intercepted a Ukrainian kamikaze drone deep in our own territory using the bodies of our soldiers, making sure that drone cannot strike anywhere else in the future.”

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RikersTrombone t1_j1rhmze wrote

Ukraine better be careful, Russia might declare war.

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pete_68 t1_j1rigcb wrote

Cities are secondary. They'll target military sites. And I doubt any of their missiles would ever detonate on American soil. I think our defenses are much better than the public or the Russians know.

−14

pete_68 t1_j1rmgln wrote

They would target military installations and manufacturers of weapons and infrastructure. Those would be the primary targets. They're not trying to invade the United States. Decimating our cities doesn't get them anything.

−6

BrandyNewFashioned t1_j1rmhgh wrote

If anything, they probably still have the same target maps they had in the 1960s. I wouldn't be surprised if they still have a warhead aimed at the closed army ammo plant to the north of where I live, despite everything having been demolished 20 years ago.

Then any nukes that don't fail midflight will probably miss and hit innocent towns, or fuckall wilderness.

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mu_taunt t1_j1rqrsf wrote

Hopefully it self destructed the second they opened it up.

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cosmicrae t1_j1rtr6l wrote

There was some stories back in 1989 … about the reliability of the Russian PALs. During perestroika, The US/west tried to assist in reducing the nuclear arsenal, and make it so that none of them would trigger without absolute control. That has been 30+ years ago, so my recollection may be hazy, but I know there were some efforts.

The problem with a warhead triggering accidentally, is that there could be massive amount of finger pointing about whose warhead just went off. Clancy wrote about the procedures in one of his books, that involve taking air samples of the debris, to try to determine the source(s) of the fissile material. If Clancy got the story right, we had better all hope that sanity prevails until such time as the details can be sorted out.

When Russia was using nuclear capable cruise missiles a few weeks back, there were substantial comments that the debris field around the impact contained no radioactive material. Apparently Ukraine (or someone with long range weapon identification capability) realized rather quickly what type they were, and wanted to tell equally quickly if they were a deliberate non-warhead payload, or a real payload that failed to detonate. Crappy world we live in when those questions need to be answered in minutes.

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cosmicrae t1_j1rvhrp wrote

I would (gently) suggest that you look around GitHub for a project titled OPEN-RISOP. That is a simulation of ~2100 warheads targeted on the USA. This is the red team approximation. There are three scenarios represented: Counter-Force, Counter-Value, and a combination of CF+CV. Counter-Force being an attack aimed at strategic assets and the immediate supporting facilities. Counter-Value is roughly what is being wrought upon Ukraine now. The trade off CF+CV is a blend of the two. It is also interesting that some targets (of which there are 9,000+) do not have a fallout pattern associated with them. My presumption is that those targets are neither hardened nor have a wide land area. An example is a natural gas compressor station. They do not need a warhead, but could be sufficiently damaged by a conventional cruise missile warhead.

Russia does not have enough nuclear warheads to hit every US target With one, because some of those warheads are assigned to targets in the EU and in other countries. So the ~2100 is a fair guess. That Russia is rapidly burning thru cruise missiles, is good, because that also goes into equations involving targeting. Some of the 9,000+ targets in the hypothetical OPEN-RISOP list are thermal power plants, the same type that are currently being hit in Ukraine.

The sooner that Russia gets out of the global strategic warfare game, the better for all of us.

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mikeymumbelz t1_j1rvhyo wrote

Ukraine killed the vast majority of their actual soldiers.

Everyone currently fighting is (in majority) average Russians who have little to no combat experience and just want to survive to go back home.

Russia's biggest mistake (besides the invasion in general) was conscripting Russians who don't want to be there. It doesn't take a 5 Star general to know that's a bad strategy.

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Diligent-Kangaroo-33 t1_j1rx13p wrote

They can't stop a Ukrainian drone. That means they can't stop a nuclear first strike scenario using cruise missles.

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stackjr t1_j1s35cn wrote

Just to be clear, shooting down a nuclear armed missile is no easy feat and the US military has failed to do so in many training exercises. Do not make the mistake of thinking we are untouchable in the US.

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rheumination t1_j1s3868 wrote

I looked it up. But that’s not exactly your point is it? Your point is can we trust the number?

Do we ever really know anything? Of course we cannot be certain of anything in life, especially Russians. However they blew up a ton of these bombs. So we know they can make them. The USSR was good at making LOTS of weapons. It’s not hard to imagine they made thousands of these. But I get your point, we can never really be sure if anything. Just like we can never be sure that they destroyed the warhead they said they would. So it’s entirely possible they have thousands more than this number too. Can you grant me that?

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Quackagate t1_j1s5z4c wrote

Either behind the bastards or lions led by donks podcasts brought up one time that if you change your targeting priority from military targets to civilians you only get like a 5%-increase in deaths in a full-scale nuclear war. This is because so many military bases are near large metro area

3

FarawayFairways t1_j1s96lt wrote

Every time I read comments like this (and yes they invariably come from Americans) I'm just relieved that the great hive mind of Reddit is no where near the decision making apparatus

Perhaps you'd be so good as to enlighten us as to your level of expertise in the field, because assurances like "I doubt" (any of their missiles work) and "I think" (we've got better defences than we know of) doesn't really fill me with any confidence

It's a really bad bet to place

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memberzs t1_j1sb7rm wrote

I had a buddy that was former air force and had talked with people that did “start” inspections as part of his job was prepping g the base he was on for their inspection at a moments notice. That is truely a concern he heard not that they’d work, but who would recover it when they didnt.

1

Jerthy t1_j1semxe wrote

Ukrainians have multiple of their own drone programs, some weaponized, including suicide drones with 1000km range. It should be noted though that these were never officially unveiled and their real capabilities are unknown. Ukrainians are silent about what are they actually using for these strikes.

Their military industrial complex is far more capable than people like to give it credit for.

Also, as the other guy said, while switchblade can realistically fly undetected, it doesn't have anywhere near this range and being basically flying grenade, it can't do this much damage.

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Dekarch t1_j1sg2ii wrote

Assuming they can hit the right country. Failure to launch or shortly after launch just dumps radioactive waste on Russia.

Failure at the reentry phase just destroys the warheads.

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oldsouthnerd t1_j1sis0q wrote

At that distance it's basically got to be one of UA's long range kamikazee drones.

So what I'm reading here is that when a Russian kamikaze drone get's through Ukraine's defenses, it's news. And when a Ukrainian drone fails to get through Russia's air defenses, it's news.

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Skeltzjones t1_j1sor5c wrote

It would be a very funny move for the US to call for a meeting to discuss concerns over Russia's nukes and whether they are competent enough to prevent a disaster, given how incompetent their military and government have shown themselves to be.

1

Jessica65Perth t1_j1spjdy wrote

They habe that many on paper. How many are actually ready for us is the question..It was alleged early in the Ukraine invasion many of Russias Tanks could not be used due to stole parts. The eorld however has to assume Rusdia has 6,000 Nukes read to go and act accordingly

−2

Zez22 t1_j1ssbj7 wrote

Merry Christmas Mr Putin

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unskilledplay t1_j1thilo wrote

I went down this rabbit hole recently. There isn't much radioactive material in a nuclear bomb. Almost all of the ionizing radiation is created during the explosion. This radiation is extremely dangerous but it decays quickly. Radiation in nuclear test sites isn't even detectible today.

There are models that show how ionizing radiation can have disastrous downstream effects but these are all effects that follow the seconds and hours after an explosion.

There hasn't been any detectible radiation in Hiroshima or Nagasaki for many decades.

The image I had in my head of a lifeless wasteland that is uninhabitable for thousands of years after a nuclear holocaust just isn't real. The only material that is radioactive for thousands of years is spent nuclear fuel, or HLW. Everything else decays quickly.

For scale, a nuclear power plant will use 24,000 kilograms of nuclear fuel per year. An advanced nuclear bomb will have about 4 kilograms before detonation.

The radiation and even the long distance radioactive fallout following a nuclear explosion is most definitely not worse than the explosion itself.

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BastillianFig t1_j1tnv5u wrote

Right.... if hit a civilian house then fair enough....

But it hit military personnel.

So clearly even if they did shoot it down they didn't shoot it down in the 300 + miles it flew but only once it got into the military. And then it still crashed and killed people in the base

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SirCB85 t1_j1ts40t wrote

The Dude you are answering to isn't talking about nuclear Fallout from a successfully detonating nuke, but the contamination from a nuke failing to ignite and spread its payload as a dirty bomb instead.

1

GinTonicDev t1_j1tyr8w wrote

They don't need to hit cities in your country. They could literally throw their own nukes at their own cities to kill you. Heck, sending those rockets without any warhead at all in our direction would kill us all.

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rheumination t1_j1up2yw wrote

Dude, you cannot even spell “warning” correctly. I don’t think you’ve cracked a conspiracy with your big brain. If it helps you sleep better, I wish the Russians would become fertilizer for a bounty crop of Ukrainian sunflowers. But I’m a bot, sure Sherlock.

0

Scarred4Life51 t1_j1vd959 wrote

Just tool a guess.

That's kinda how anyone without direct knowledge has to do. I just thought it would be poetic justice for Ukraine to use the same weapon that Russia used to attack a target inside Russia. Ukraine has captured and reused all kinds of weapons and equipment and reused it. Why not a Iranian drone?

0

Spare_Substance5003 t1_j1vkxvq wrote

Man, this will definitely upset the Russian enough to start a wa....nevermind.

1