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KimCureAll OP t1_j1yw4zk wrote

I don't think Russia can easily run out of ammo either, but it can run out of soldiers if the war continues for a long time. What's the latest count on Russian casualties? Well over 100K? Who in their right mind would voluntarily want to fight for Russia?

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GAZ082 t1_j1z4eay wrote

Nobody. That's why police execute the conscription orders.

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KimCureAll OP t1_j1z58o9 wrote

I've seen videos of conscripts trying to run away - it's hilarious and sad at the same time. Can you imagine being forced to have to fight and die for your country, a country that is not worth fighting for. I mean, Russia could be a great country, but its governance for centuries has been abysmal.

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OldMork t1_j1ywuef wrote

they most likely got tons from USSR-era, and iran, NK or even china and india can supply.

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Eli_Yitzrak t1_j21wjiy wrote

India is highly dependent on Russian arms exports and cannot in turn supply Russia

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kaslokid t1_j1z7l0x wrote

It is doubtful that will happen either. Russia is massive and we forget how many soldiers they threw into WW2.

The numbers are there but the unknown is what happens if they try to mobilize the men in Moscow, St. P, etc. The propaganda is strong and Russia has a massive police force.

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SpaceTabs t1_j20k5ne wrote

Logistics will definitely be more of a problem, although probably not "run out". The Russian bodies will not run out of either. It's completely normal for a medieval army to send in the inexperienced troops first to wear down the enemy.

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Snoo63541 t1_j20ulz0 wrote

Keep in mind “casualties” included wounded, not just dead, at a roughly 10:1 ratio. Many of those wounded may later return to the fight.

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Down_B_OP t1_j20w91p wrote

Usually 3:1 is used for estimating casualties, but I've seen some analysts suggest 2:1 is more accurate with the inadequate medical care. Our casualty numbers are largely extrapolations based on counting dead russians and applying that ratio. If the 2:1 ratio is to be believed, we are grossly overestimating the number of surviving casualties.

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Exist50 t1_j20083y wrote

>What's the latest count on Russian casualties? Well over 100K?

Isn't that number coming from Ukraine? Probably not the best source for judging actual casualties.

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The_Redoubtable_Dane t1_j214r36 wrote

I believe more neutral analysts have estimated the number to be at least 80.000, so it's probably not too far off.

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eske8643 t1_j23spip wrote

They have a standing army of well over 1 million. But to send them to ukraine would mean weakening their borders somewhere. And they are too afraid that some countries like Finland. Japan. China etc. Would reclaim land from them. So they are essentially locked down in these areas.

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