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Most_Ruin_3005 t1_j1tvbbe wrote

China's in for a ride awakening if it thinks it can successfully invade Taiwan whilst the US has effectively infinite budget and manufacturing capability to send a steady stream of current and next-genetation weapons and materiel to Taiwan and other allies in the area.

The war in Ukraine has kicked the US's wartime production ecosystem into gear, and we're churning out all kinds of stuff to replace what we're sending out. We have enough spare weapons to adequately arm Taiwan for years.

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pp_in_a_pitcher t1_j1twubr wrote

I think they can reach some sort of compromise regarding this, both china and US don’t want a war and both are dependent on eachother to maintain their economic superiority, all this stupid war stuff is just a diversion from the common recession problems the world is facing and to justify funding technological and state necessary industries and fill the politicians pockets

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corp_code_slinger t1_j1urs4o wrote

You're not wrong, but what you're describing is a reason for China to make a move now instead of later.

The problem is from China's standpoint there will probably never be a better time than now. What are they going to do, wait another couple years and give Taiwan more time to prepare, give the US more time to assist Taiwan, and give the chip ban more time to bite?

They may also be betting that the US doesn't want to deal with multiple fronts at once between assisting Ukraine and also needing to come to Taiwan's aid, even though we will because we don't have a choice until we've built up the supply chain at home.

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treydayallday t1_j1xzmjs wrote

Multiple fronts? Their aid to Taiwan would far surpass any aid provided Ukraine. They’re pulling from an incredibly deep well of funds. Their aid to Ukraine hasn’t begun to scratch the surface. Not to mention be far more likely to provide boots on the ground support to Taiwan. This wouldn’t go well for China no matter when they pulled the trigger.

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