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--Arete t1_j1w3rqw wrote

Phase 1: The Chinese strategy is to slowly encapsulate Taiwan and push limits on how much they can intude Taiwanese territory.

Phase 2: CCP will launch a false flag operation in order to encourage the fighting will of the Chinese people, spreading propaganda and hate.

Phase 3: The CCP will try to send warships to blockade Taiwan.

Phase 4: Taiwan will be forced to accept demands from the CCP or fight the entirety of the Chinese army.

Phase 5: Taiwan will give in because no other country will risk going to war China, leaving Taiwan to fight China alone.

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Euclid_Interloper t1_j1x2np3 wrote

This is so painfully unrealistic. Neither the US nor Japan would accept a Chinese blockade of Taiwan, it would be a strategic disaster. Both would send ships and aircraft to resupply the country, thereby calling China’s bluff. China would then have a choice, either get out the way of allied ships or fire on them and start WWIII.

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--Arete t1_j1y51gm wrote

I don't think you are very well informed. China already has an equal strength navy compared to the US. The US won't have much of a choice than to stand down. Do you really think they are going to fight China over Taiwan?

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sg3niner t1_j1y5nno wrote

China's navy isn't anywhere CLOSE to being as capable as the US Navy. You're either a CCP troll, or just ridiculously ignorant.

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--Arete t1_j1y7u4u wrote

Why is that? (What makes the US navy better)

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passtheGUAK t1_j1yfex8 wrote

Air craft carrier diff is huge China has a ton of small ships and civilian ships they can repurpose. Really good on defense, on offense not so much. I don’t think either side could win this war tbh, I think the reason why the status quo is what it is is largely because any fighting wouldn’t change the status quo. It’s hard to blockade an island when your opponent has so many damn aircraft carriers, hard to pressure the mainland when you don’t have the ammunition to fight all those ships

What do I know tho

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TrueMrSkeltal t1_j1w8o3f wrote

An invasion of Taiwan would be a catalyst for a world war. Not because of morals but because of the massive impact that would have on the semiconductor market, which in turn affects pretty much everything in our world.

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auxerre1990 t1_j1whnoh wrote

And also, what neighboring Asian country is going to let China expand their Maritime Exclusive Economic Area????? Fuck no!!!!!!!!!! That lets China have westward towards south china sea and Vietnam .. /eastward access to the pacific.... and the south...

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Blitzares t1_j1wff3s wrote

You are insane if you don't think the US will step in to defend Taiwan.

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--Arete t1_j1y53xe wrote

I hope you are right but I doubt it.

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Blitzares t1_j1y6d3e wrote

You don't have to hope or doubt. They will. The geopolitical ramifications that will occur if they don't are far FAR too great for them not to.

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