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TheNBGco t1_j9ex92q wrote

Reply to comment by External_Net480 in Belarus claims Ukraine army groups have massed at border, risking its security by WickedSlice_

Well judging by the surprise visit, which is super non standard, and his message being were in it for as long as it takes.

Were prolly sending them fighter jets soon.

Idk if the US puts boots on ground. But theyre assessing and giving weapons in return for everytime putin escalates.

Belarus isnt the issue. Its china. If china backs russia its gonna get crazy.

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LethalFromage t1_j9f1gad wrote

It's always been China. Putin is nothing more than a guinea-pig here. Xi wanted to see what the west would do and convinced Putin to launch his invasion. Had it gone well Taiwan would already have fallen.

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axle69 t1_j9gkij0 wrote

Taiwan is a hell of a lot more prepared than Ukraine was just in general. I think China only moves on Taiwan if they feel like it'll receive zero help in any form.

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TheNBGco t1_j9feeyw wrote

Taiwan is a redline. I guess china could just blast it to bits but thats war.

Those semi conductors are very important to USA military equipment. Need them for our jets/subs/nukes/radars everything.

Without those were pretty screwed short term.

And one thing USA doesnt mess with is its military.

My thinking is it took nearly a year for Russia to attack ukraine.

I feel tho China has determined it is entering in the next year or so and Russia is now prolonging the war trying to get the WEST to use up as much ammunition as possible and take out what they can.

Russia is still trying to take Maldova even while getting their shit kicked in. That doesnt tell me deescalation is coming.

But im just a smoothed brain ape and never been in military. I do study psychology and like making my best guess on how people will respond. I think theyre waiting.

And i think everyone who has written russia off will be mistaken.

Why arent we allowing them to strike moscow or inside russia with the weapons we give ?

Why are we holding out jets ?

What took so long to send tanks ?

Why are our leaders worried about escalating. They know something we dont.

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SavageNorth t1_j9gvuse wrote

> Why are our leaders worried about escalating

Russia has been a Nuclear power for decades.

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TheNBGco t1_j9h7kpy wrote

Right. So why do people think theyre so weak? Our leaders dont think that.

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ZephkielAU t1_j9hm6pl wrote

Same reason you don't pick a fight with a scrawny kid with a gun. But if he starts a fistfight, you punch back.

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External_Net480 t1_j9exp1y wrote

China will back Russia, they always play the waiting game. But they can't afford loosing Russia as a dictator partner. What if Russia looses and breaks up, or the current government will get ousted by revolutionairy people smelling a chance of regime change in a more democratic way. That is a scenario China really want to avoid. So they will pitch in sooner or later I guess..

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alpha_dk t1_j9ezyvr wrote

Nothing says "i'm just protecting Russia from NATO" like relying on Chinese occupiers to prevent revolution!

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TheNBGco t1_j9eym33 wrote

Enemy of my enemy is my friend. Im afraid youre right. Hope were wrong.

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Sassybeagle t1_j9h62k7 wrote

The US and EU are massive buyers of Chinese goods and services. China won’t do anything to destroy their own economy since that would tank their entire country. Russia cannot make up for the net loss that China’s economy would be hit and without that massive economy, there would be massive unrest. China’s been shrewd about playing the long game for its entire existence and there isn’t anything that would screw them over as much as a direct confrontation with the West.

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