So, we’re due for a spike? Haha the way weather patterns are heading, seems like a flip of a coin might be most accurate

About 7 years ago, there was so much snow that we couldn't leave our building in DC.

And maybe 9 years ago, while living in McLean, I had a flight out of Dulles, and the only road open was the one to the airport. Getting out of the neighborhood with suitcases was a group effort

A lot of the spikes are due to massive one-off events in a season and should be regarded more as statistical outliers. 2009-10 had a few of those, but 2014 and 2016 only one major dump.

Even so, we appear to be headed to the second lowest since 1960.

I still remember fondly the blizzard of 1996

If I recall correctly, the week heading into St Pat's is the last week this area historically has gotten any snowfall of measurable height in a generation. Using a weather outlook guide, which I'm aware isn't accurate but it's better than nothing, the last shot DC has stands to be next weekend where the low is just close enough to the line to permit a reasonable dip and the slow moving rain arrives a day late.

Pardon my horrible meteorological skills but I would not be surprised if the individual 50% chance of a 0.25" precipitation at 32-35F lows over Friday/Saturday decided to marry themselves into 1" of snow, although I wouldn't bet it. Would be nice, though.

My favorite one