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VisualMod t1_j6p9nk9 wrote

>1. I think you're right that Natural Gas prices are due for a rebound in the near future. The data does seem to show a seasonal pattern where prices tend to rise in February/March timeframe.

  1. I also agree that there are several catalysts coming up that could trigger a sharp price increase, such as Freeport LNG coming online and increasing global demand from China as they reopen their economy.

  2. However, I'm not sure ifNatural Gas is necessarily "in oversold territory" just yet – while the downtrend has been slowing recently, prices could still potentially fall further before starting to recover again. But overall I do agree with your bullish thesis on Natural Gas and think it's worth keeping an eye on for potential investment opportunities in the next few months

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Untold_shitty_mf t1_j6pbwe8 wrote

Got it. Puts on BOIL.

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Ascension100 t1_j6peimx wrote

Honestly if we have another rate hike add pressure we might see oil prices tank and when oil prices tank natural gas can be affected and go down also in a global recession . The winter has been fairly mild so far so demand is not really been their . But if we do have a fall or some consolidation period it would be worth buying the next month or 2 as once free port on is back in full operation we will need to export lng again to Europe so they can stock up for winter .

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VisualMod t1_j6p9mf3 wrote

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Hey /u/new_changes, positions or ban. Reply to this with a screenshot of your entry/exit. >TL;DR: 1. Natural Gas prices have been in a downtrend recently, but this is due to seasonal patterns and the warm weather anomalies in the US and EU

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Meat__Head t1_j6pd8h0 wrote

Seasonality = Priced in

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RubberHoss t1_j6pdhje wrote

I was already looking for a way to invest in natural gas after all Europe especially Germany is depending on it and is gonna buy like crazy again cause our politicians have learned nothing from the past year. Also the energy price cut for consumers will basically allow for a "no yield price" buying spree cause 80% of your last years consumption are subsided. Then especially in summer its very likely that the french nuclear capacities are going to be shut down again due to extreme heat and lack of cooling capacity so electricity from Germany will be exported agian and this energy was mainly created by burning natural gas.

My issue rn is finding the right ETC to invest in NatG via Trade Republic.

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mudcracked t1_j6pguos wrote

Freeport can move 2% of US production once fully operable. Not going to make natgas move much.

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ZealousidealFault468 t1_j6phhis wrote

I was looking at this chart this morning thinking it can’t possible bleed out any further…

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