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VisualMod t1_j6bwarq wrote

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MyNi_NotYourNi t1_j6by7o7 wrote

Lumber follows home construction, which hasn't really weakened that much. Not to mention, people still have jobs, and are earning more in nominal terms, and sometimes even real terms.

Some might even note that lumber is a leading indicator of economic expansion, which, in this case, would translate to ... inflation. Yup. That soft landing might be getting more unlikely now.

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fuglysc t1_j6c2coj wrote

Generally, commodities rise when USD is weaker...you can see that prices for corn, soy, copper etc have been rising recently as the dollar has been falling

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CaptainGolden OP t1_j6c2ecp wrote

Replying to MyNi_NotYourNi (#1,573,328)

>Some might even note that lumber is a leading indicator of economic expansion, which, in this case, would translate to ... inflation. Yup. That soft landing might be getting more unlikely now.

I would say that the middle class is getting less wealthy as of recent. Inflation is up, debt is through the roof, consumer confidence seems low, interest rates are high, and those nice money packages people got during covid is running out. I don't see why you would want to buy a house or make a house in this market. But yeah, let's hope for the best for that soft landing...

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wallstreetbets-ModTeam t1_j6cn20g wrote

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