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crispybluebills t1_j6ll9oq wrote

Your “game theory” assumes its nuke or negotiate? There’s a distinct possibility of a third outcome where this drags on for a very long time. Timing is sort of important with these things in case you haven’t learned that the hard way.

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TelMeEverything t1_j6nt4fq wrote

Came here to point this out. Something tells me Putin wouldn't mind sacrificing a couple million Russians in a war of attrition. If nothing else it probably makes him look more badass in front of his Russian supporters. The longer the war drags on the more harm is done to Ukraine state the longer it takes you can't Ukraine to recover afterwards the less useful Ukraine would be as a NATO Ally. Not saying this is definitely what happens but I don't see the wisdom in ruling this out.

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DiriboNuclearAcid t1_j6nyj1d wrote

On the flip side the longer the war takes the more Ukraine will be useless to Russia. It'd be even worse cuz the rebuilding and continued insurrection activity will be a huge liability. The way I see it, the longer this war goes on Russia becomes less likely to take Kiev and/or win the war. So ya I don't think nuking is even an option for Russia, it's either win conventionally or pull out completely. Ukraine will not accept giving an inch of ground to Russia.

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