Do you want to buy a stock that goes up ? I presume your " gamble" is a short term proposition.

All of your points are great, but they are irrelevant to the price action of the stock. The big fund buyers, asset managers, etc are the ones who make the stock go up ( for the most part )

If they are out of the market, your short term gamble will turn into a long-term tiresome waiting game- with no gaurantees.

A great company, yes. Does it " have to go back up ! " No ! It may or may not, but it does not have to.