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ICumCoffee OP t1_it7pv9h wrote

The study will focus solely on unclassified data. A full report containing the team’s findings will be released to the public in mid-2023.

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stoned811 t1_it8e2e0 wrote

Thank you, ICumCoffee for the insightful information!

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[deleted] t1_it8satw wrote

What a juvenile.name. Some people.

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Lickshaw t1_it9es5t wrote

"Juvenile name"... I'll have you know that this is a very serious medical condition that millions of people suffer from and it affects their lives in a way you cannot possibly imagine you inconsiderate jerk. Where you see a "juvenile name", in reality there is only a cry for help.

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Latyon t1_it7pd0a wrote

Spoiler alert

They didn't discover anything new

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ferrel_hadley t1_it7vvnd wrote

>Shelley Wright is an associate professor of physics at the University of California, San Diego’s Center for Astrophysics and Space Studies. She specializes in galaxies, supermassive black holes and building optical and infrared instruments for telescopes using adaptive optics such as integral field spectrographs.
>
>Warren Randolph is the deputy executive director of the Federal Aviation Administration’s Accident Investigation and Prevention for Aviation Safety department. He has an extensive background in aviation safety at the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and is currently responsible for setting and implementing safety management system principles and using data to inform the assessment of future hazards and emerging safety risks.

Experience in IR. And by a long way the most important, an expert in understanding the problems with witness testimony in air crashes. But no specialist in the video equipment or aerial photography these images often come from (F-18 FLIR). Hopefully they can request expert testimony.

People misunderstanding mis remembering what they see in aerial crashes etc is a major issue for FAA investigations.

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Synaps4 t1_it7pgfe wrote

Surely 9 months is barely enough to catch up on the existing literature on the topic.

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Kind_Demand_6672 t1_it8f9d3 wrote

Not much credible literature on the topic, probably equivalent to reading Chamber of Secrets once or twice.

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Synaps4 t1_it8fisf wrote

Didn't the DoD release like several hundred pages of inconclusive reports like a few years ago ?

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uqde t1_it9n9u8 wrote

I mean, first edition of Chamber of Secrets was 251 pages. So your comment doesn’t necessarily contradict the person above you

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ryanq99 t1_it8a7e0 wrote

Im guessing the general consensus on this sub is that alien contact on earth is extremely unlikely. Im wondering what everyone thinks of the tic-tac objects pilots are seeing?

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Latyon t1_it8ctmx wrote

  1. I believe that eyewitness accounts are not reliable (1 in 5 Americans claim they have seen a real ghost)

  2. I believe that if this data exists that they claim exists, then for their claim to continue they must produce evidence.

  3. Nothing I've seen in these videos is unexplainable.

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ryanq99 t1_it8dfx7 wrote

I wouldnt believe just anyone, most people that claim they have seen ufos are loonies.

Some of these guys are highly trained, highly educated pilots that all witness similar phenomenon, and from their perspective, the "craft" or whatever it is seems to surpass our technological abilities.

I used to be very adamant that life exists but in no way are they here on Earth. Im a little more open to the idea now.

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rocketsocks t1_it8xyf6 wrote

Highly trained pilots are still subject to the same cognitive biases that most folks are. The important thing is whether or not the claims are evaluated rigorously and scientifically. And every single time that the due diligence is put into these claims the result is that the "UFO" is identified as very likely something else such as a balloon or another plane.

This alone is a problem because it completely inverts the burden of proof. The burden should be that the very first step is to put in the rigorous work to identify anything it might be that is a mundane explanation, and only then to put together a strong case of positive evidence that there is something odd and unexplainable going on. However, that's not the way these things have been going. Instead the typically pattern is a half-assed investigation at the level of "I dunno, it looks weird" followed by jumping to the conclusion that something that "looks weird" must be an alien spaceship or a classified spy plane or something. And so instead it falls to a small group of amateurs to actually put in the work and then they'll come back and say "oh yeah, this is actually a video of another plane, and here's the exact plane it was", which is an unreasonable level of burden for them, but that's the sorry state things are in because so many people are so biased toward wanting to believe these things are alien spacecraft.

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ryanq99 t1_it8z15j wrote

I am overly skeptical about everything. 2 years ago I would have scoffed and rolled my eyes at anyone even considering ufo stories to be legit.

My natural inclination is absolutely not to believe in ufos. The opposite. Naturally, I think it’s complete bullshit.

I now think there are too many accounts from reasonable people to just completely write them off.

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rocketsocks t1_it90s35 wrote

OK, go watch Mick West's videos on youtube and get back to me. The evidence really is not there, at all, it's universally a lack of rigor that is being filled in by a bias toward extraordinary interpretations.

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and the evidence is very much lacking.

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ryanq99 t1_it91ltp wrote

I will watch. Any specific video to start with?

Also, there is no extraordinary claim. No claim at all actually... What I am talking about is testimonies of witnessed phenomenon that have actual video and data. There is no conclusion, we dont know what it is.

There are anomalies in the data. It is up to us to use the data to come to a conclusion.

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ryanq99 t1_ith4qm4 wrote

Thanks for the resources, his explanations do make sense to explain civilian sightings but not for the US Navy sighting.

They see planes all the time, they fly them. The sensors and recordings picked up something not recognized by the Navy which is why this is a big deal. They 100% know of every vehicle in their airspace, it’s not possible for it to be a plane.

The other videos of civilians claiming to see a “tic-tac” all look like planes. The one from the US Navy does not look like a plane. I have a hard time believing it’s a lens flair and none of their experts considered it. There was sensor data and eye-witness accounts from 4 pilots. It’s not a flair.

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Kind_Demand_6672 t1_it8fsgl wrote

"Highly trained, highly educated" does not prevent someone from experiencing the human condition. I've seen people, who are celebrated experts in their field, say stupid stuff a ton of times.

For instance, my cousin is an A-10 pilot, he also believes Tr*mp won the 2020 election.

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ryanq99 t1_it8gs67 wrote

Absolutely, but when multiple highly regarded pilots account for witnessing the same phenomenon and agree whatever is was surpasses our current understanding of technical and physical limitations, I think it’s worth looking into.

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Latyon t1_it8qxg4 wrote

You can be highly trained and highly educated and still be a looney toon.

See: Ben "the pyramids are grain silos" Carson

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ryanq99 t1_it8ttr0 wrote

Are you saying they’re all loonies, therefore we should ignore rule out anything anyone says if it’s about ufos?

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Latyon t1_it8wmhh wrote

No.

I have an idea though - how about they show us the data they claim exists?

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ryanq99 t1_it98zi6 wrote

My other comment got auto-removed. Lets try again.

Look into David Fravor. As far as I am aware there isn't a logical explanation for the phenomenon himself and 3 others witnessed.

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Latyon t1_it99d73 wrote

Is this the Gimbal guy?

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ryanq99 t1_it9bmim wrote

I was removed automatically again...

Yes I think it is the gimbal guy.

Words words words words dont remove my comment please

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Latyon t1_it9cin8 wrote

The Gimbal is unexplained but not unexplainable. And if people are claiming that these things are impossible crafts and that there is evidence that they have collected, then show us.

Otherwise, it's "My girlfriend goes to another school so you can't meet her"

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ryanq99 t1_it9ilan wrote

Btw I think youre reply got removed like mine have been.

Reddit deletes almost all of my comments so I started using reveddit to see if my post made it or not.

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ryanq99 t1_it9jr1n wrote

I see you asked for data in the comment that got removed.

Here it is: https://www.navair.navy.mil/foia/documents

Are you planning on doing something with the data or was that just to shut down the conversation?

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Latyon t1_it9labo wrote

I will, I will look at it, thank you.

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ryanq99 t1_it9mmhl wrote

There are hundreds of pages of docs and emails in that link, along with video from sensor data. IMO easier to listen to David Fravor on Lex Friedmans podcast. Worth a watch.

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ryanq99 t1_it9fl30 wrote

They have data. The data shows whatever it is, its seemingly flying faster and more unusual than anything we understand currently. That's it.

I, and the people that presented the data did not claim what it is. Whatever it is, something is happening. Its not nothing.

That alone is worth investigating.

"I have a girlfriend at another school" is a claim.

"Here is data we do not understand, what is it?" is not a claim.

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AP-the-RD t1_it8fk48 wrote

I’m in agreement with you, the past 4 years have seen a sea change in how the topic is being viewed/discussed and I can assure you, regardless of what our government/military agencies say, the do know more than they are letting on/revealing and there absolutely is more evidence than what has been revealed thus far.

They are taking this seriously despite what is revealed in public and to think otherwise is delusional. As you said, there are too many reports/testimony from highly credible witnesses to ignore. Also to use a straw man argument like 1 in 5 people claim they’ve seen a ghost again doesn’t address the issue at hand.

We’re at a point now where the issue isn’t if these things aren’t real, the US government says they are, the issue is what are they… I prefer to contribute to the discussion by adding to the effort of finding out, not dismissing reality outright. Something is going on, period. What it is is the part that everyone should be excited about, especially regular visitors/members of a space subreddit lol

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ryanq99 t1_it8fu43 wrote

Do you think anything will actually come out of this study?

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AP-the-RD t1_it8gv60 wrote

This study I’m not too optimistic about but I would love to be proven wrong. I’m more paying attention to the recent passing of the NDAA that includes language related to the UAP reports due to congress as well as provisions for whistleblowers to come forward with immunity in regards to legacy black programs involved in crash retrieval’s and possibly in possession of material that may be of interest. Again, I’m no expert but to me that’s where the golden ticket is, compartmentalized black budget programs that prominent members of the intelligence agencies have purported to exist over the years. Just my opinion.

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Abababababbbb t1_itab52u wrote

woman astronauts ride 20 hours wearing a diaper to threaten with a gun a love rival.

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ryanq99 t1_itabfns wrote

This looks like what happens when you keep pressing the suggested words on an iPhone

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vibrunazo t1_itao526 wrote

> Some of these guys are highly trained, highly educated

That has a value of exactly zero to the scientific method. Eye witness testimony is unreliable regardless of whose testimony it is. That's science 101.

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ryanq99 t1_itap5zv wrote

It’s impossible to come to a conclusion because there’s almost zero evidence. What we do have though, are a few instances of unusual phenomenon that we can’t explain.

Most people who say they have seen ufos are crazy. Some could be intelligent in some areas but most are crazy.

There are real accounts of unidentified objects that seem to surpass our understandings of movement or physics. David Fravor and 3 other people witnessed something that is still not explained yet. We don’t know what it is.

And it’s not only eye witness testimony. It’s cameras and sensors.

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vibrunazo t1_itaqth8 wrote

> It’s cameras and sensors.

And none of them have ever proven the data to be nothing alien or supernatural. End of story. Come back when you have better evidence.

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ryanq99 t1_itbf58p wrote

When did I ever say aliens? I was very clear that there is not enough evidence to come to a conclusion? Come back when you can read.

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BreastMilkPopsicles t1_it8jdhh wrote

Mute the audio on the videos, ignore the descriptions and stories you have been given about them and tell me what is interesting about the videos

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ryanq99 t1_it8kksp wrote

The commentary is what is interesting because we are listening to people who have been trained in that field observing something that they deem unusual.

Bad analogy though. If a scientist showed you a presentation about observing a virus through a microscope without the audio, you wouldn't know what you are looking at without hearing the explanation. Can we then conclude that the information in that presentation is not valuable just because muting it made it uninteresting?

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BreastMilkPopsicles t1_it9107m wrote

No, a virologist will be able to explain to me what we're seeing on the screen without audio. They'll be able to point to parts of the virus and explain what what we're seeing here is important because blah blah blah.

The problem with the tic tac videos is all that the "virologist" (or NASA expert) would be able to talk about in this case, is what people on the audio are saying, which means you have to trust that they're 1) right and 2) honest.

Again, there is nothing special about the videos if you mute them. That is a huge red flag for skeptics. I can only assume that the lack of more compelling evidence only strengthens the skepticism considering their would be mountains of data to support what these people are seeing.

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ryanq99 t1_it92cau wrote

You could give the muted ufo video of the sensor data to an aviation expert and they would find it interesting. A layman would not know what they are looking at.

In that vein, unless you know what a virus is and the parts it has, you would have no clue wtf you're looking at without some context. I get what you're saying, but the analogy is bad.

>I can only assume that the lack of more compelling evidence only strengthens the skepticism considering their would be mountains of data to support what these people are seeing.

That surely is the problem, there is not much evidence at all. The little we have is enough to look into it, but not enough to come to a conclusion.

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BreastMilkPopsicles t1_it934xp wrote

But there are lots of videos that explain the numbers on the screen that you see in the videos are all normal and not noteworthy. There is absolutely nothing happening in any of the videos that an aviation expert will find interesting if you mute the audio.

I'll try to dig up some of them when I finish work.

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ryanq99 t1_it93kt6 wrote

Sure yeah I appreciate any info you have, I think its all interesting.

Have you looked into David Fravor's accounts? He and 3 other pilots observed the same thing. They have video and sensor data.

As far as I am aware, there hasn't been a satisfactory answer to what they saw and picked up with their sensors.

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GratefulRug t1_it8kmi2 wrote

The most compelling thing I’ve seen is over 300 sightings in a night in Michigan. There’s a good Unsolved Mysteries episode about it on Netflix.

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ryanq99 t1_it8n8ch wrote

Ill give it a watch, sounds interesting!

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GratefulRug t1_it8omvc wrote

It includes a meteorologist who was confirming things on his radar. Very interesting.

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rocketsocks t1_it8x58w wrote

Tic-tacs are planes, obviously, I don't know why it's even a question. When you view a large plane from afar you tend to see only the fuselage while the rudder is typically much less visible and the wings are often so dark they blend into the background at most viewing angles, the result is a "tic-tac". This is because the fuselage is a cylinder so there is almost always a portion of the cylinder which is at the right angle relative to the Sun to appear bright, while the wings and rudder are most visible only at specific angles relative to the Sun and specific viewing angles. There are countless examples of "tic-tac UFO" videos that have been identified to not just be planes but where the exact flight and plane has been identified.

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ryanq99 t1_it8y1i6 wrote

Air traffic is tightly controlled. There aren’t just rogue planes unmarked flying around. The tic-tacs have been observed to move beyond the capacity of modern engineering or understanding of physics.

They are 100% not planes. Are they aliens? Probably not, but it’s not nothing.

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rocketsocks t1_it904vj wrote

Tic-tacs have not been observed moving "beyond the capacity of modern engineering". Many, many tic-tacs have been tracked to being planes.

And yes, you point out the problem here. Air traffic is highly controlled, and planes are tracked. But the vast, vast majority of "UFO research" does not even bother trying to identify whether or not a "tic-tac observation" is in fact simply another plane. There is a substantial lack of due diligence in the whole affair. It very much is little better than "looks weird, must be aliens". And then on top of that is bad math, just as you've described, which leads people further down the rabbit hole.

Here's the punchline. If there was legitimate strong evidence for "unidentified aerial phenomena" that represented proof of vehicles operating beyond the capacity of modern engineering or our understanding of physics then that evidence could be published in peer reviewed journals. But it's not, and the major reason that it's not is because universally this "research" represents folks not doing their homework. If you are sloppy and you're not doing your due diligence then of course it is easy to come up with outlandish numbers and an absence of conventional explanations. If you don't bother doing the leg work to track down conventional explanations then they won't bother to get in the way of your extraordinary claims, but that doesn't make those claims justified.

This is the problem, almost no one is doing the work rigorously, and when it does get done and something that UFO enthusiasts have been pushing as "unexplainable" is explained the result is that there is no publicity for that explanation. Even more crucially the UFO enthusiast community does not use that as an opportunity to revisit their assumptions and the level of rigor they need to put into such investigations, instead they just sweep it under the rug and say "well, what about THESE observations?!?!" with another pile of videos that have received the same half-assed level of "investigation" and show nothing new or interesting.

"Tic-tacs" are the perfect example here because you would think that after the first handful of "we think this thing that looks like a tic-tac is an alien spaceship" videos were shown to be just regular jet aircraft viewed at great distance (often identifying the exact plane being viewed) that people would then start understanding that when you see something that looks like a "tic-tac" in the sky it is probably just another plane because that's what planes look like. Instead it has not caused that level of rethinking because UFO enthusiasts generally lack any hint of introspection or ability to follow logic.

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ryanq99 t1_it913tn wrote

Im just advocating an open mind. I would have said the exact same thing as you. Just flat-out refusing to consider it gets us nowhere. There are phenomenon happening we do not understand, its hard to deny that.

Have you listened to David Fravor and his groups' witness accounts? Like really dig in. Don't just go in trying to find things to disagree with. Actually consider what they might be saying could be true.

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unimpressivewang t1_it92nbn wrote

I agree with pretty much everything you’re saying here. But it’s not just a random report here or there, the whole thing here is a specific set of relatively recent observations by navy pilots and communications/radar operators

The guys in the Nimitz flight group near Norfolk were seeing these things nearly every day

Same thing with another group in San Diego

They could be full of shit for one reason or another, but the “tic tac thing” is more than just those couple videos

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AP-the-RD t1_it8cjz0 wrote

While I certainly won’t speak for everyone, you are correct. It appears that because humans have not discovered the physics/technology (yet) to travel vast distances in space either instantaneously or at speeds that would make exploration worth the time/effort, a majority of people think it simply can’t be done.

While I’m all for a healthy dose of skepticism, there are simply too many expert witness reports and testimony to ignore. Sure, some of those can be passed off crazy farmers in overalls or a mass hallucination (which isn’t a phenomenon btw), there are sane people who have seen/experienced extraordinary things including our top military aviators in reference to the tic tac incident.

To not investigate these to their fullest extent to find out what they are is simply unscientific and only serves to continue to keep this topic in the dark which isn’t where it belongs anymore

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ryanq99 t1_it8dvpm wrote

Its odd. I feel almost bat-shit crazy for even considering these ufos could be something, there are just too many accounts from highly respected people to not take seriously.

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BreastMilkPopsicles t1_it92r0w wrote

Claim* to have seen/experienced.

Claim* is the key word missing from your post.

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AP-the-RD t1_it9g7ms wrote

Ok, so what would you say IS truly happening in regards to military and service member reports of these objects. The recent USS Nimitz incident involving the tic tac is a perfect example of a multiple trained and credible observer witness report, corroborating radar, satellite, and gun camera data… this is still a “claim” for you? That’s bullshit and you know it. There’s no moving the goalposts here. The Nimitz incident isn’t the only one like it as well.

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BreastMilkPopsicles t1_it9y4fo wrote

There has been no radar, or satellite data and the video we saw showed absolutely nothing of note.

Any person is capable of lying

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AP-the-RD t1_ita9odr wrote

I didn’t ask if any person was capable, I’m asking you if you believe the testimony of Dietrich, Fravor the two pilots, and Kevin Day the radar operator. I’m asking you a simple question, are you if the impression that they didn’t see what they saw or the data isn’t what the radar operators say they are? I’m asking you an honest question? I’m trying to to out myself in the mindset of thinking that way and am unable to do I’m curious how you got there?

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[deleted] t1_it8r36x wrote

[deleted]

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ryanq99 t1_it8t79q wrote

I don’t disagree. Sounds like my exact stance until a few years ago. Space is massive and has been around for a very long time. I don’t think it’s unreasonable to consider there may be more advanced species. The distance to travel across space makes it impossible for our current tech and biology. Who is to say they can’t figure it out?

Let’s say humans live another 10million years and don’t wipe ourselves out. How much more advanced would we be and would be be able to fathom the tech?

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[deleted] t1_it8tml3 wrote

[deleted]

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ryanq99 t1_it8ulfa wrote

> At best, we are bacteria being studied by a vastly more intelligent species, and that isn’t good news for anyone, let alone something to get excited about.

Idk man that sounds pretty cool to me

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unimpressivewang t1_it91yf7 wrote

Why would anything about them have to be biological? We’ve sent dozens of unmanned probes across the solar system. When we find something interesting we send more probes there.

What if say 3 million years ago (or 300million for that matter) an unmanned probe didn’t find life here, and then a few centuries later a larger set of unmanned probes were sent here, which have been chilling every sense?

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ryanq99 t1_it92spe wrote

You're right, were working with a bunch of assumptions because there's nearly zero evidence for any of this. Could be anything. Probably more likely not biological.

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Icy-Conclusion-3500 t1_itbs8da wrote

When you’ve got a sensor that is on a moving vehicle, and that sensor also moves independently from the vehicle, it’s really easy for things to look weird.

The sensor simply lost its target lock and the pilot did a bad job trying to reestablish lock and tracking. It didn’t go super fast or making weird moves, it’s just the pilot not interpreting his video feed correctly.

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ryanq99 t1_itcsbxy wrote

That’s certainly a reasonable explanation, although the Navy recognizes this phenomenon and have several accounts of it. They understand their equipment. They agree there was an anomaly and all instruments were working correctly.

We’re talking about experts here. Perspective may have been what made the thing look like it was going fast. The Navy doesn’t think so though, so you must know something they don’t.

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Icy-Conclusion-3500 t1_itctwz1 wrote

It wouldn’t require the instruments not working correctly

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ryanq99 t1_itcw8x1 wrote

Which is why my reply also mentioned…

> Perspective may have been what made the thing look like it was going fast. The Navy doesn’t think so though, so you must know something they don’t.

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Icy-Conclusion-3500 t1_itd3t1h wrote

Gotta remember that the navy has a monetary interest in this being an obscure threat.

Occam’s razor. The simplest explanation to it seeming to break the laws of physics is that it just doesn’t, especially when humans are involved.

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ryanq99 t1_itd99fn wrote

Imagine what the world would look like today if we conducted science by saying “something is going on that breaks our understanding of the world, but it’s more likely nothing so let’s not look into it”.

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foma_kyniaev t1_it7z19k wrote

What a waste of money. They wont find anything unusual yet conspiracy theorists will have more fuel for their "goverment is hiding something" stories.

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tronslasercity t1_itbpfuv wrote

Excited to read about the inconclusive results after the study is published.

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BreastMilkPopsicles t1_it8j9lc wrote

It simple. None of the footage that's been released is even remotely interesting without the audio or "story" behind it.

Nasa will simply play the videos on mute and say "See, there is nothing of note happening in any of these videos".

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Disavowed_Rogue t1_it7q15b wrote

Would be smart to have Giorgio Tsoukalos on that team.

Edit: letters

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Synaps4 t1_it8hhcx wrote

Now you may be thinking: "Is it even possible to put Giorgio Tsoukalos on this team!?"

"Yes it is."

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HeDgEhAwG69 t1_it8dqum wrote

They're just buttering us up for a false flag attack.

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