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robotical712 t1_je57v5v wrote

He has a point though. If you detect an event your models say is “once in 10k years” in the first few decades you’re even looking, odds are they’re more frequent than your models suggest. Obviously, it’s only one data point, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they wind up being more common than predicted.

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_rake t1_je58tg0 wrote

Well let me know in 10,000 years how many there were.

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