Submitted by ye_olde_astronaut t3_11ie69j in space
PEVEI t1_jaya2sl wrote
Reply to comment by simcoder in Half of all active satellites are now from SpaceX. Here’s why that may be a problem by ye_olde_astronaut
It's real, but incredibly overblown in the popular imagination, especially for LEO.
https://aquarid.physics.uwo.ca/kessler/Kessler%20Syndrome-AAS%20Paper.pdf
The reality is that it's going to be a source of debris going forward, but it's incredibly unlikely to become the sci-fi nightmare people mean when they refer to it. In reality it's just another added cost of doing business, barring some sort of extreme event such a war in orbit, or suicidal nuclear strikes.
simcoder t1_jayapsk wrote
A XX,000 satellite constellation going full debris cascade is going to leave a mark on LEO for quite a while. And that debris will have to traverse the orbits of the space stations and Hubble and who knows what else as it deorbits.
It's pretty common for the SpaceX superfan to completely disregard the impacts of such a thing. I'm not sure how they do it but they seem to be able to filter out any and all bad outcomes when their favorite corporation is involved.
I guess it's their super power.
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