Submitted by blueSGL t3_10gg9d8 in singularity
blueSGL OP t1_j53yvki wrote
Reply to comment by zero_for_effort in I was wrong about metaculus, (and the AGI predicted date has dropped again, now at may 2027) by blueSGL
> but it just keeps jumping closer to the present.
Connor Leahy described this as a "pro gamer move"
> "If you see a probability distribution only ever update in one direction, just do the whole update instead of waiting for the predictable evidence to come, just update all the way bro."
Kinda looks like Kurzweil's "Law of Accelerating Returns"
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