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Ok_Homework9290 t1_j3qcmla wrote

Reply to comment by SoylentRox in "Community" Prediction for General A.I continues to drop. by 420BigDawg_

>They are saying a median of about ~8 years, which would be 2031.

That's an oddly specific number/year.

Also, remember that people who work at AI corporations, as opposed to academia (for example), have the tendency to hype up their work, which makes their timelines (on average) shorter. To me personally, a survey of AI researchers on timelines has more weight than AI Twitter, which is infested with hype.

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Thelmara t1_j3s2c1e wrote

> That's an oddly specific number/year.

No, that's the median of a spread, and it's stated with the caveat of "about". That's literally the opposite of "specific".

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