Hard Takeoff/FOOM scenario. Many will underestimate AGI when it gets here, there will be arguments, many of the same nature as the ones that surround ChatGPT/GPT-3, people will say it’s not really understanding anything, it’s not sentient so it can’t create anything of value, oh, it requires way too much hardware to be a hard takeoff, just ignore all that optimization we’ve done with every other algorithm since 2011, and then rinse and repeat.

I think it’ll quickly skyrocket past any Human intellect once it’s at even a sub human level of comprehension. After that point I expect chaos and finger pointing, Gary Marcus will use his same toe in line arguments, Chomsky will bury his head in the sand and say it’s not Human, whatever that means. But people here and in a lot of other places in the AI community will understand it will revolutionize the world at a rate we have never witnessed before.

Here’s the thing, Humans innovate, acclimate and then adapt, not the other way around, AGI will push forward and change the world, and those in denial, the religious crowd, the luddites and the conservatives will be left in the past until their ready to acclimate to the new tech themselves, which I’m betting on that they will. I don’t for one second think they’re going to deny any of the treatments we’ll have for aging, I could understand them not going for Nanotechnological Augmentation like a Transhumanist like myself would be doing, but many of them will at least embrace biotech at the very least.