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Imaginary_Ad307 t1_j0h8dp6 wrote

My bet is on Alphabet.

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Agreeable_Bid7037 t1_j0i43ig wrote

me too. I wouldn't be surprised if the people at Google have already developed something like AGI.

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civilrunner t1_j0ikjui wrote

I strongly doubt that, they would have released it already and skyrocketed in value already. I suspect personally that OpenAI (Microsoft), Deepmind (Alphabet), and apparently even Meta (see their recent diplomacy playing AI) will all be competitive in the space.

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Agreeable_Bid7037 t1_j0imp8x wrote

I doubt they would have released such a thing, to the general public.

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civilrunner t1_j0inctz wrote

Alphabet is in the business of making money, pretty sure whatever Deepmind is working on is likely their cutting edge, if they had AGI I think we'd know.

Mind you in my opinion by definition AGI would have to be human level at robotics so it should be able to automate all labor including building and maintenance of said robots. The amount of value in that would be unfathomable to us.

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MasterFubar t1_j0htzoy wrote

Neither of them, but Alphabet will be better positioned than Microsoft.

Big corporations don't adapt well to novelties. They can't handle what Clayton Christensen called "disrupting innovations" in his book The Innovator's Dilemma. Microsoft is already showing this in how they tried to enter the smart phones market and failed miserably.

Alphabet came into being one technology generation later than Microsoft, that's why they stand a slightly better chance to survive, but don't count too much on that.

The corporate giant who will dominate the AI world doesn't exist yet. There may be a guy or two working in a garage to create that giant, it's too early to tell.

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tobojijo t1_j0okylw wrote

This argument could be a case of reverse Survivorship Bias

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cantbuymechristmas t1_j0h4wep wrote

currently microsoft at the moment until google releases their version of a chat bot.

but more than likely a 3rd option will become available and that eager startup will become a household name in the space rising above both

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luisbrudna t1_j0i2xir wrote

Google are crying and confused.

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guardianugh t1_j0kewes wrote

Are they crying like this 😭, this 🤣, this 😢, this🥹 or this😅?

Comment below or 2 minutes of bad luck.

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X-msky t1_j0in002 wrote

Microsoft has at least a billion dollar stake in OpenAI

DeepMind is owned Alphabet

The AI assistant chatbot or robot kind of tasks are done best by OpenAI and their models

The generative science and strategy is best done by models developed by DeepMind

But none of them have found a good way to properly evaluate the model response for truthfulness

So it's going to be interesting, I believe that in a year or so Twitter AI will be able to start properly addressing this issue

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stupidimagehack t1_j0lf2g7 wrote

Society itself has a problem with identifying truth, too. Perhaps there’s a deeper consideration here. 🤔 What is truth?

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X-msky t1_j0mijlc wrote

What instead of truth we should aim for accuracy?

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Denpol88 t1_j0ks6mv wrote

Alphabet i think.

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TooManyLangs t1_j0i2wkl wrote

idc, I only want a free toy

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guardianugh t1_j0kf23v wrote

McDonalds used to give free toys so maybe we’re not asking the right questions.

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Mysterious_Ayytee t1_j0l1s12 wrote

Like in this meme, Guy1 says Alphabet Guy2 Microsoft, then Guy3 comes with Meta and gets beaten up.

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TheSecretAgenda t1_j0icrww wrote

Microsoft has always been a "Me Too" company being caught flatfooted on just about every technological advancement.

They stole everything from the original DOS operating system, to Excel, Word and Internet Explorer.

The only thing they have ever had going for them is the massive profits from basically getting a piece of the profit from 90 percent of the desktop computers sold in the world. I would give the edge to Alphabet not that Microsoft won't try to steal their innovations and reverse engineer them like they always do.

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drumnation t1_j0llhhp wrote

They’ve made some fantastic moves in recent years. Their code editor is super popular with developers. Their typescript language has been adopted over JavaScript with a huge proportion of developers. They’ve made acquisitions of some really great tools over the past few years too. I wouldn’t count them out. I had the same opinion as you up until maybe 4 years ago.

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guardianugh t1_j0keky9 wrote

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