Ok_Homework9290 t1_j266ej0 wrote
Reply to comment by CesareGhisa in Hypothetically, if most jobs were to become obsolete from the AI revolution overnight, what would be your contingency plan? by [deleted]
I mean, if you believe that AGI and human-level robots are not a matter of if but when, most jobs will probably be disrupted/affected eventually, but in regards to "digital" jobs, I think they're further out from disruption than some people think. Knowledge work is a lot more than just crunching numbers, shuffling papers, etc. Anybody who works in a knowledge-based field (or is familiar with a knowledge-based field) knows this.
AI that's capable of fully replacing what a significant amount of knowledge workers do is still pretty far out, IMO, given how much human interaction, task variety/diversity, abstract thinking, precision, etc. is involved in much of knowledge work (not to mention legal hurdles, adoption, etc).
Knowledge work will undoubtedly change over the next 5-10 years and even more so after that, but I'm pretty confident we're a ways away from it being totally disrupted by AI.
CesareGhisa t1_j2697fv wrote
you write "AGI and human-level robots", but I think these are two different things. I see ai doing all great sort of things in the digital domain, inside a video monitor. But when it comes to the physical world is a totally different story. Over a very long timeframe also the physical world will be probably managed by highly advanced robots, but in my view that is very very far from our existing technology. About knowledge jobs, I am also skeptical ai won't pan out simply as a tool for human workers, but as a replacement of workers instead in the short/mid term.
Ok_Homework9290 t1_j26a5z4 wrote
No, I meant they're two different things.
>About knowledge jobs, I am also skeptical ai won't pan out simply as a tool for human workers, but as a replacement of workers instead in the short/mid term.
We'll see, I suppose.
Smellz_Of_Elderberry t1_j26r7ue wrote
I literally just got back from working on a farm warehouse which is being renovated into a robotics factory.. they plan to produce robot waiters, robot janitors, and robot construction worker aids..
YeetThePig t1_j26ui8g wrote
Yeah, it’s folly to think they’re not going to replace you in a “physical” job. ANI is a long way from AGI, but literally all of the things people say “robots can’t do that!” - maybe not right now, but they sure as shit are working on enabling them to handle the specific components of the job, or they’re creating systems that can be adapted to do so.
People just a few years ago were scoffing at the idea of AI artwork, and look how that’s turning out now.
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