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CesareGhisa t1_j25uc5p wrote

in my opinion only jobs in the digital domain will be affected (banking, office jobs, etc). jobs done entirely or almost entirely on a computer. all other physical jobs will be impacted by ai in the sense that they will use ai as an additional tool, but the job will still be performed by a man (electrician, plumber, builder, etc.). I dont think millions of walking robots will take over all physical jobs in the next decades.

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Cryptizard t1_j25v16a wrote

Agree. It’s going to be a long time still before we have a robot that can navigate a persons house to find a problem with their plumbing and then successfully fix it without messing up a bunch of other stuff.

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Ok_Homework9290 t1_j266ej0 wrote

I mean, if you believe that AGI and human-level robots are not a matter of if but when, most jobs will probably be disrupted/affected eventually, but in regards to "digital" jobs, I think they're further out from disruption than some people think. Knowledge work is a lot more than just crunching numbers, shuffling papers, etc. Anybody who works in a knowledge-based field (or is familiar with a knowledge-based field) knows this.

AI that's capable of fully replacing what a significant amount of knowledge workers do is still pretty far out, IMO, given how much human interaction, task variety/diversity, abstract thinking, precision, etc. is involved in much of knowledge work (not to mention legal hurdles, adoption, etc).

Knowledge work will undoubtedly change over the next 5-10 years and even more so after that, but I'm pretty confident we're a ways away from it being totally disrupted by AI.

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CesareGhisa t1_j2697fv wrote

you write "AGI and human-level robots", but I think these are two different things. I see ai doing all great sort of things in the digital domain, inside a video monitor. But when it comes to the physical world is a totally different story. Over a very long timeframe also the physical world will be probably managed by highly advanced robots, but in my view that is very very far from our existing technology. About knowledge jobs, I am also skeptical ai won't pan out simply as a tool for human workers, but as a replacement of workers instead in the short/mid term.

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Ok_Homework9290 t1_j26a5z4 wrote

No, I meant they're two different things.

>About knowledge jobs, I am also skeptical ai won't pan out simply as a tool for human workers, but as a replacement of workers instead in the short/mid term.

We'll see, I suppose.

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Smellz_Of_Elderberry t1_j26r7ue wrote

I literally just got back from working on a farm warehouse which is being renovated into a robotics factory.. they plan to produce robot waiters, robot janitors, and robot construction worker aids..

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YeetThePig t1_j26ui8g wrote

Yeah, it’s folly to think they’re not going to replace you in a “physical” job. ANI is a long way from AGI, but literally all of the things people say “robots can’t do that!” - maybe not right now, but they sure as shit are working on enabling them to handle the specific components of the job, or they’re creating systems that can be adapted to do so.

People just a few years ago were scoffing at the idea of AI artwork, and look how that’s turning out now.

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Imnot_your_buddy_guy t1_j25uwdz wrote

It was a hypothetical. I’m sure we’d adapt to AI, but pretend that it took your livelihood, what alternative would you take?

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CesareGhisa t1_j25vmfy wrote

if all jobs would be done by robots and we would live in an abundant physical (not digital!) world, I would pursue my passions all day long. Playing music, literature, sports...

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