Thanks! I think we are more than ten years away (maybe several decades) from our month-long predictions becoming useless, but that's my opinion. I do think we will see it in our lifetimes. If not our lifetimes, then our children or grandchildren will probably live to see it.

One way, maybe the quickest, for technological singularity to occur would be creation of an artificial general intelligence (AGI), basically replacing a human scientist with a machine. This would allow the machines to begin designing themselves. There are a few different technical breakthroughs (spatial reasoning/navigation, planning, long term memory, learning without forgetting old data, multisensory association, hardware advancements) that I think need to be solved before an AI of such capability is possible. They are not insurmountable, and any combination of two or three of these would result in new AI which changes society dramatically. I do think it will take more than a decade to solve these problems.

Current AI approaches are impressive, but lack a powerful world prediction model themselves. What we basically need for AGI is to create a system capable itself of predicting nature, in its vast complexity, at least as well as a human being does. Designing this system is very difficult.

Just my opinion.

So it's hard to know what the future will be like, but looking at all the trends (data almost infinitely, computing has been doubling every 6-18 months for decades now, Elon Musk is the richest person in the world with his high-tech companies and believes in the singularity while helping to create it, Google and other Big Tech companies are deeply investing and expanding AI, China wanting to be the world's AI leader by 2030, the world is improving at a very fast rate according to studies on wellbeing but the news doesn't show this, 8 billion people in the world with many now attending higher education/having access to a computer with internet/focused on progress more so than conflict, the changes we've seen alone in the past 2 years) I do think that something like a singularity (to me would be AI Intelligence Explosion) or just even technology advancing so fast because progress builds on itself that nobody can keep up is very possible

Optimistic predictions are by the end of the decade.

Kurzweil Predicts 2045.

My personal opinion is 2065.

I think it will certainly happen before the end of the 21st century.

So within the life time of many alive today.

Fwiw I'm a layman but have a friend who works for an AI alignment company (funded by a billionaire) and he and his entire company predict ASI (artificial superintelligence, i.e. an AI capable of starting the singularity) in the next twenty years. He's one of the smartest people I know - three degrees, two from unis ranked top 10 globally.