Ortus12 t1_j1g3w1q wrote
ASI will kill all jobs. Ai that is more intelligent and with robot bodies more physically capable than humans means, no humans will be able to compete with the ASIs on any job. Even sex robots will be more attractive, charismatic, funny, alluring, and charming than any human who has ever lived, and better able to convince you that they have a soul.
If you expect a slow take off then maybe they'll be new jobs until ASI occurs.
So maybe 10 years, 20 at the absolute most. Anything more is ignoring the economic feedback loops of capital reinvestment from the profits of less capable Ai, feedback loops of Ai's being used to optimize and improve Ai code (already happening), Ai's being used to design better chips (already happening), and Ai being used to optimize server farms (already happening), the trend towards zero of cost of energy from similar feedback loops (already happening), and the growth of more and more server farms.
When you stack that many feedback loops on top of each other you get an exponential. The human mind doesn't think in exponentials naturally (one of our many limits), it thinks linearly. Which is why we sometimes imagine future robots to be like in the movie interstellar, rather than future ASI like in books such as the metamorphosis of prime intellect.
raylolSW OP t1_j1g7b89 wrote
I personally think that level of AI and robotics won’t happen in my lifetime, but yeah, we won’t be able to compete
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