Sweet, keep em coming.

Was this intended as a comment on the Metaculus prediction? Yes though, I'm currently predicting a bit before that (community is a bit after).

I believe so.

I find it interesting when that happens, thanks for the headsup (reposted it to the question in question).

next interesting milestone would be if they solve kids level math from gsm8k with 98% accuracy and not 78%.

not likely since the metaculus prediction has never reached 2026

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my guess is he just thinks its 4 years away. Very exciting since superhuman math would be way way more gamechanging than go or chess

the gap between kid level math ability and adult will be traversed quickly methinks.

maybe, but they can't make kids math yet, even if we assume they are not cheating.

Would it? Theoretic mathematics are having no impact on the real world.

That was published summer, is there something new about it?

Tell that to the folks working in transistor development. Sometimes modern industries have to create something where some parts of it are never going to be observable but need to be predictable in order to come out with an end product.