I don’t believe all art. Just low hanging fruit. The bottom 80%. He’ll, even I have pulled a few quick images for articles. Having been in the commercial art field since the ruby days and still doing high end drone photography and corporate brochures and ads I already see it eating away some work.

I err on the long side due to need vs cost savings. Development of a safe and reliable AI system for home or commercial plumbing that take the job fully is way off. What I anticipate is AI companion with AR glasses. It will start with new construction jobs that are designed for them. The 30-50 is to account for the degradation of current facilities. I still have units we maintain that are over 60 years old with 60 years of undocumented modifications and repairs. 30 year old units from companies that have been out of business after install.

Companion systems that reduce the number of technicians maybe. But not full removal.