Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

tokkkkaaa t1_iwwwpzh wrote

Reply to comment by DukkyDrake in Lev/ Modern super computer tech question by IzanTeeth

Why?

1

DukkyDrake t1_iwx65l4 wrote

Economics of scale, the world is big.

>The newest EUV machines are state of the art producing the smallest feature sizes in nanofabrication and costs > $350m a piece. There are a few hundred of previous versions in existence in the world and lead times for the old versions are 12-18months. This tech is currently used to spit out semiconductor wafers before they're chopped up into chips, a large fab might produce 250k wafers a month.

You're going to need a high-tech manufacturing stack like semiconductors to manufacture your nanobots. It will take decades to ramp capacity, available capacity will land in the hands of the highest bidders. Also, 60 year olds trying to stay alive will be competing for the retail product with 30-year Olds trying to look like they're 20 years Olds.

2

rixtil41 t1_iwy0ifk wrote

I don't think it will take decades. I forgot the reason but let's come back on December 31st, 2039, and see how far nanotech has come.

2

DukkyDrake t1_iwz9l0s wrote

I'm only aware of 1 pathway that can improve extant nanofabrication, and that has gone nowhere in 30 years. There were easier ways to make money.

1