Submitted by Singularian2501 t3_yrw80z in singularity
PrivateLudo t1_ivx2ne4 wrote
Reply to comment by AsuhoChinami in AGI Content / reasons for short timelines ~ 10 Years or less until AGI by Singularian2501
Most people don’t realize and don’t want to realize how quickly technology is advancing.
Considering that the growth of computing power used in AI is currently doubling every 3.4 months.
In 2017, deepfakes have started to be legit and used on the internet. In 2018, we had GPT-1, a much inferior version to GPT-3 (which came out in 2020). DALL-E came out in 2021, with its much superior version, DALL- E 2 coming out in 2022. Only one year separates the two version of DALL-E and it can now create highly detailed art (even one won an academic award). And now we’re just recently seeing videos made entirely by an AI with text prompts.
In FIVE years all of this happened. If we take Moore’s law into consideration and growth of computing power, that means breakthroughs and changes will happen even faster. Not only that but AI industry is growing extremely rapidly in just the last two years.
Its absolutely not crazy to think AGI could come in the next 5-10 years.
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