Submitted by throw28289292022-02 t3_yehe45 in singularity
Shelfrock77 t1_ity6yvq wrote
I think all of what you said is going to happen before 2030. It won’t be perfect but it’ll be practical enough to be highly addictive and impressive even to the AI pessimist. In result, AI will arguably not need human scientist/programmers anymore. So Earth has a new species to compete with, people will argue how long it takes for biological humans to become inferior and die out. I don’t believe we will leave our humanity though, it’ll be more like detroit become human or cyberpunk 2077 where we look human on the outside but instead of endoskeletons, we have exoskeletons. Therefore we become tunable vehicular vessels which is what we want in terms of keeping our consciousness online for thousands of years
throw28289292022-02 OP t1_ity7wie wrote
if you have time could you say what your time line of major events looks like?
Shelfrock77 t1_ityc9eo wrote
1st announced form of UBI: mid-late 2020s
1st generation of FDVR: I think first from of fdvr will be non-invasive but it won’t optimal compared to invasive. That being said, Invasive VR will have to include nanotech injections and any model of a brainchip which will be done by pharma companies that partnered with the tech companies. A human won’t be performing the surgery that’s for sure. I think we will get to a point where almost every field of medecine including the military will have a “brainchip” option in their playbook, it’ll be cheap, efficient, and easy to put in. As society technologically matures, there will be even more incentives to implant a brainchip.
1st non invasive model: It probably already exist imo but let’s just say 2025-2026 for the people who don’t think any brainchip intel is classified right now. I think even non-invasive will still rely on nanotech. I don’t think it’ll be possible without nanotech injections.
1st Invasive model: 2026-2030
Mass automation: It’s happening now and snowballing, the rest of the masses who are unaware of AI will feel it when the mainstream news tells the people when to feel it. Idk what the employment numbers will look like cause they be skewed by people who “work” in the metaverse.
Northcliff t1_ityd8qg wrote
Full dive VR in less than 7 years? you smokin?
expelten t1_ityf2sz wrote
I agree it's too early. According to what I remember from some BCI experts we should start to see Full Dive around 2035 but it won't be available to the public right away. Even with exponential progress there are still a billion things to accomplish and get right for it to work and we will need AGI first to do it.
ActuaryGlittering16 t1_itymirt wrote
I’d say that’s a solid estimate.
notveggiesoup t1_itzgrl0 wrote
We need a lot more than good AI to make that happen
Northcliff t1_ityfmg1 wrote
Even Zuckerberg doesn’t believe that will happen in that time span
FREE-AOL-CDS t1_iu0asww wrote
He says he doesn’t believe that will happen, but how often does that guy lie?
Northcliff t1_iu0ciqu wrote
That’s the opposite of what he’s doing, he’s hyping VR to the max in order to procure investors for Meta
Shelfrock77 t1_itydt6a wrote
Even if I were to predict 20, it’s still a bold prediction to the average person since they are so clueless about technology. I stand firm on my beliefs that more than 50% of humanity will have brainchips installed in their skulls. The WEF will deliver the 2030 promise of being happy 24/7.
Northcliff t1_ityejnt wrote
Fucking lol
TheHamsterSandwich t1_ityshv5 wrote
shelfrock is a religious nut when it comes to the singularity. don't listen to him
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