Submitted by maxtility t3_ydly5u in singularity
Comments
Apollo24_ t1_ittohz0 wrote
wouldn't be surprised if it happens by the end of next year
DungeonsAndDradis t1_ituylf6 wrote
_SputnicK_ t1_itwm8qn wrote
I think AGI will arrive in the wake of rumors and speculation. For months, people will talk about how X company (e.g., Google, OpenAI, Meta) has "solved intelligence" but nothing will be confirmed for an exceptionally long time. Internally, there will be pandemonium about the ramifications of releasing the model to the public. Inevitably, the model will be leaked, and imitation models will follow.
maskedpaki t1_iuftv78 wrote
Lol it's already gone down to 2027 in 4 days
imlaggingsobad t1_iug2sji wrote
wait for real? that's crazy, i gotta go take a look now
robdogcronin t1_ittalk6 wrote
I am reflecting on the awesome Connor Leahy's pro gamer move: "if the prediction only ever updates in one way, just update all the way bro"
HumanSeeing t1_itupd8a wrote
Yea, that was a pretty brilliant and insightful thought. If you keep updating and only updating in one direction.. yea, just update all the way bro. Eventho it is not totally clear what all the way means exactly. But.. sooner than we think.
SharpCartographer831 t1_itt2bkc wrote
What caused this? And what are the implications of this?
maxtility OP t1_itt2dyy wrote
overlordpotatoe t1_itu0o8n wrote
I like this one.
>When will a computer program be credited as an artist of at least ten pages of content in Weekly Shonen Jump?
A year ago, predictions were that it would take another 15 years or so. Current predictions are May, 2026, and only dropping.
red75prime t1_ittt4x3 wrote
Yep, I feel that my 50% AGI probability by 2033 prediction slides down. Nevertheless, I will not update it to less than a year until I see 99% precision on logical/common-sense tasks and working, episodic and procedural memory implementation in AI.
[deleted] t1_ituo7k8 wrote
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theinternetism t1_itvdeb8 wrote
>Likely will be achieved well before, maybe even in this decade.
>maybe even in this decade.
2028 is "this decade". March 30th 2028 is only 5 and a half years from now.
[deleted] t1_itvdw0x wrote
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husk_12_T t1_iu8nljh wrote
Why did I read it like 'in my opinion'?
imlaggingsobad t1_itthdix wrote
wouldn't be surprised if it dropped to 2025-2026 by the end of next year